SharpstieriLos Angeles ChargersatBuffalo Bills
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. Caesars has Bills -7, better than the sharp -7.5.
The read
- Pinnacle had Bills -7 on Sun, Sep 20. It's now -7.5, half a point toward the Bills, onto the key number 7.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 82% of spread bets and 93% of the money are on the Bills.
- Caesars still has Bills -7. Pinnacle is at -7.5, so that's half a point better than the sharp number, and it sits on a key number.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $412K traded on Kalshi), the Chargers are +298 to +308 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +274 and your best is +295.
- The total hasn't moved from 50.
Ask Claude
Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.
Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Chargers | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +7.5-116 | -7.5+103 |
| PinnacleFirst seen | +7-106 | -7-106 |
| ExchangesReference only | +7.5-107Novig +7.5 -106 · Matchbook +7.5 -116 · SX Bet +7.5 -107 | -7.5+102Novig -7.5 +104 · Matchbook -7.5 +102 · SX Bet -7.5 -105 |
| FanDuelYour book | ||
| CaesarsYour book | ||
| BetMGMYour book |
Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (points). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Thu, Sep 24, 6:59 PM
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Highmark Stadium
Injuries
Chargers
- WR Brenen Thompson · quadricep
- TE Charlie Kolar · forearm
- T Trey Pipkins · knee
- G Kayode Awosika · fibula
- DT Dalvin Tomlinson · hamstring
- S Derwin James · finger
- S Elijah Molden · hamstring
Bills
- WR Keon Coleman · ankle
- DE T.J. Sanders · illness
- DT Ed Oliver · hip
Official NFL injury report (via nflverse, updated daily). Checked Thu 5:25 PM ET.