SharpstieriHouston TexansatIndianapolis Colts
Mixed signals: big money at DraftKings favor the Texans; the line moving 1 point their way favor the Colts. Your books have no better number than Pinnacle right now.
The read
- Pinnacle had Texans -3 on Mon, Sep 21. It's now -2, 1 point toward the Colts, off the key number 3.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 53% of spread bets and 85% of the money are on the Texans.
- Even at DraftKings, the Texans have 85% of the money on only 53% of bets: bigger bettors are on them.
- The sharpest moment: around Tue, Sep 22, 7:03 PM ET, Pinnacle and 3 other books moved the total the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- Your three books are on the same number as Pinnacle or worse, so there's no lagging line to grab right now.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $125K traded on Kalshi), the Colts are +115 to +117 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +111 and your best is +112.
- The total went 43.5 → 42.5 (toward the under).
Ask Claude
Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.
Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Texans | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -2-102 | +2-110 |
| PinnacleFirst seen | -3+100 | +3-112 |
| ExchangesReference only | -1.5-106Novig -1.5 -106 · Matchbook -1.5 -111 · SX Bet -1.5 -102 | +1.5-101Novig +1.5 +104 · Matchbook +1.5 -101 · SX Bet +1.5 -102 |
| FanDuelYour book | ||
| CaesarsYour book | ||
| BetMGMYour book |
Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (points). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Thu, Sep 24, 6:59 PM
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Lucas Oil Stadium
Retractable roof, usually closed when the weather is bad. Outside:
Injuries
Texans
- WR Nico Collins · hamstring
- T Trent Brown · knee
- G Ed Ingram · groin
- DE Jadeveon Clowney · knee
- LB Jacob Hummel · groin
Colts
- WR Ashton Dulin · ankle
- WR Alec Pierce · heel
- CB Charvarius Ward · groin
Official NFL injury report (via nflverse, updated daily). Checked Thu 5:25 PM ET.