SharpstieriNew England PatriotsatJacksonville Jaguars
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. Caesars has Patriots +3, better than the sharp +2.5.
The read
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Jaguars -2.5 since we started tracking it (Sun, Sep 20).
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 66% of spread bets and 64% of the money are on the Patriots.
- Caesars still has Patriots +3. Pinnacle is at +2.5, so that's half a point better than the sharp number, and it sits on a key number.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $289K traded on Kalshi), the Patriots are +144 to +147 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +136 and your best is +130.
- The total went 45 → 45.5 (toward the over).
Ask Claude
Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.
Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Patriots | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +2.5+108 | -2.5-121 |
| PinnacleFirst seen | +2.5+103 | -2.5-116 |
| ExchangesReference only | +2.5+112Novig +2.5 +117 · Matchbook +2.5 +106 · SX Bet +2.5 +112 | -2.5-120Novig -2.5 -120 · Matchbook -2.5 -119 · SX Bet -2.5 -126 |
| FanDuelYour book | ||
| CaesarsYour book | ||
| BetMGMYour book |
Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (points). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Thu, Sep 24, 6:59 PM
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
EverBank Stadium
Injuries
Patriots
- LB Dre'Mont Jones · shoulder
- LB Quintayvious Hutchins · knee
- S Craig Woodson · shoulder
Jaguars
No one listed.
Official NFL injury report (via nflverse, updated daily). Checked Thu 5:25 PM ET.