SharpstieriKansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. Exchanges lean further toward the Chiefs than Pinnacle does. FanDuel has Chiefs -10.5, better than the sharp -11.5.
The read
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Chiefs -11.5 since we started tracking it (Mon, Sep 21).
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 79% of spread bets and 63% of the money are on the Chiefs.
- FanDuel still has Chiefs -10.5. Pinnacle is at -11.5, so that's 1 point better than the sharp number.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $1.5M traded on Kalshi), the Dolphins are +545 to +590 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +466 and your best is +520. Exchanges give the Chiefs a 85% chance vs Pinnacle's 83%.
- The total hasn't moved from 46.
Ask Claude
Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.
Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Chiefs | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -11.5+106 | +11.5-119 |
| PinnacleFirst seen | -11.5-103 | +11.5-109 |
| ExchangesReference only | -10.5-101Novig -10.5 +100 · Matchbook -10.5 -103 · SX Bet -10.5 -101 | +10.5-104Novig +10.5 -102 · Matchbook +10.5 -108 · SX Bet +10.5 -104 |
| FanDuelYour book | ||
| CaesarsYour book | ||
| BetMGMYour book |
Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (points). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Thu, Sep 24, 6:59 PM
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Hard Rock Stadium
Injuries
Chiefs
- T Josh Simmons · back
Dolphins
- WR Caleb Douglas · ankle
- DE Rob Beal Jr. · hamstring
Official NFL injury report (via nflverse, updated daily). Checked Thu 5:25 PM ET.