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Northwestern WildcatsatIndiana Hoosiers

College football · Fri 8:00 PM ET · September 25
Bottom line

Sharp signals point to the Northwestern Wildcats: a reverse line move and the line moving 1.5 points their way. Exchanges lean further toward the Indiana Hoosiers than Pinnacle does. Your books have no better number than Pinnacle right now.

The read

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Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.

Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.

How the line moved

Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.

-25-24-23-22-21-20SunMonTueWedThu
Pinnacle (sharp)Novig (exchange, since Sep 24)FanDuelCaesarsBetMGMKey numbers
BookNorthwestern WildcatsIndiana Hoosiers
PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here+20.5-102-20.5-112
PinnacleFirst seen+22-114-22-102
ExchangesReference only+20.5-101Matchbook +20.5 -101 · SX Bet +20.5 -101-20.5-103Novig -20.5 -102 · Matchbook -20.5 -114 · SX Bet -20.5 -103
FanDuelYour book
CaesarsYour book
BetMGMYour book

Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (points). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.

FanDuel, Caesars and BetMGM, every alternate line they offer.

Money vs tickets · Spread

Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.

Sharp read from the line

Pinnacle has moved toward the Northwestern Wildcats even though 77% of bets are on the Indiana Hoosiers. That's the sharp side showing up in the price.

DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Thu, Sep 24, 7:09 PM

Northwestern WildcatsIndiana Hoosiers
% of bets
23%77%
% of money
23%77%

Circa where pros bet

Not posted for this game yet. Circa usually posts a day or two before kickoff. You'll get an alert when it does, and it refreshes every 10 minutes after that.

Trends & officials

How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.

None of the situations in this game stand out: every record is close enough to 50/50 to be luck.

6 more situations apply, all probably noise
  • Probably noise
    Northwestern are an underdog in a conference game. Teams in this spot are 1111-1058-34 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 560-547-18.
  • Probably noise
    Indiana are a double-digit favorite. Teams in this spot are 954-953-25 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 535-504-10.
  • Probably noise
    Northwestern are a double-digit underdog. Teams in this spot are 953-954-25 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 504-535-10.
  • Probably noise
    Indiana are off a win by 17+. Teams in this spot are 845-823-35 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 472-453-17.
  • Probably noise
    Northwestern are off a win by 17+. Teams in this spot are 845-823-35 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 472-453-17.
  • Probably noise
    Indiana have won 3+ straight. Teams in this spot are 494-503-18 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 245-262-4.

ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 2022. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.

This week's referee isn't posted yet (college crews aren't published).

Game context

Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.

Weather at kickoff

Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

64°FPartly cloudy
7 mphwind, gusts to 15
1%chance of rain

Injuries

College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.