SharpstieriNew York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles
- The Giants won (they closed at -145 on the moneyline).
- Against the closing spread, the Giants covered -3.
- 30 total points against a closing total of 37.5: the under hit.
Sharp signals point to the Eagles: Circa money. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read before the start
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Giants -3 since we started tracking it (Mon, Nov 2).
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 74% of spread bets and 75% of the money are on the Giants.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 19% of bets but 79% of the money is on the Eagles: fewer, bigger bets.
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 10:09 AM ET, Pinnacle and 5 other books moved the total the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $4.9M traded on Kalshi), the Eagles are +128 to +144 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +131 and your best is +135.
- The total went 40.5 → 37.5 (toward the under).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 3 moves
First seen at your books: Eagles +1.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Circa first seen: Eagles +1.5 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: Eagles +3 (+104)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Eagles +1.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa Eagles +1.5 → Eagles +3, toward the Giants
Your books right then: best Giants -3 (-105) at Caesars, still up for 3h 10m (until Mon, 11/2, 11:52 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 93% on the Giants.
Circa Eagles +3 → Eagles +3.5, toward the Giants
Your books right then: best Giants -3 (-112) at Caesars, still up for 12h 50m (until Tue, 11/3, 9:30 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 86% on the Giants.
Circa Eagles +3.5 → Eagles +3, toward the Eagles
Your books right then: best Eagles +3.5 (-117) at BetRivers, still up for 23h 16m (until Wed, 11/4, 10:26 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 84% on the Giants, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle Eagles +3 (-120) · Circa Eagles +3 (-120)
Best Eagles at your books: Eagles +3 (-114) at BetRivers
Best Giants at your books: Giants -2.5 (-118) at Caesars
- Best Eagles all week: Eagles +3.5 (-120) at theScore Bet, Fri, 11/6, 8:04 AM to Fri, 11/6, 1:18 PM
- Best Giants all week: Giants -1 (-114) at Caesars, Tue, 10/27, 7:03 PM to Tue, 10/27, 7:13 PM
Total · 8 moves
First seen at your books: 39.5 / 39 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Circa first seen: 40.5 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: 40.5 (-107)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 39.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Show 5 earlier moves
Circa 40.5 → 40, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 40.5 (-109) at Caesars, still up for 36h 48m (until Tue, 11/3, 9:30 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 50% on the Over.
Pinnacle 40.5 → 39.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 40.5 (-109) at Caesars, still up for 2h (until Tue, 11/3, 9:30 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 75% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Circa 40 → 39, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 40 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 18 min (until Wed, 11/4, 9:28 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 69% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Circa 39 → 38.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 39 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 26h 10m (until Thu, 11/5, 4:22 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 69% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle 39.5 → 38.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 39 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 4 min (until Thu, 11/5, 4:22 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 72% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Circa 38.5 → 37.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 38.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 10 min (until Sun, 11/8, 10:28 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 74% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle 38.5 → 37.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 37.5 (-105) at FanDuel, still up for 35 min (until Sun, 11/8, 11:47 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 75% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Circa 37.5 → 37, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 37.5 (-106) at Caesars, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 76% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle 37.5 (-103) · Circa 37 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 37.5 (-108) at BetMGM
Best Under at your books: Under 37.5 (-106) at Caesars
- Best Over all week: Over 37.5 (-108 to -110) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 11:43 AM (still up)
- Best Under all week: Under 40.5 (-115) at FanDuel, Tue, 11/3, 7:34 AM to Tue, 11/3, 9:06 AM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Giants | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -3+109 | +3-120 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Mon, 11/2 · not the opener | -3-117 | +3+104 |
| ExchangesReference only · $1.4M traded on Kalshi | -2.5-115Kalshi -2.5 -121 · Novig -2.5 -113 · Matchbook -2.5 -115 · SX Bet -2.5 +105 · Polymarket -2.5 -119 · ProphetX -2.5 -113 · Betfair -2.5 -118 | +2.5+101Kalshi +2.5 +101 · Novig +2.5 +113 · Matchbook +2.5 -100 · SX Bet +2.5 -125 · Polymarket +2.5 +103 · ProphetX +2.5 +106 · Betfair +2.5 -101 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -3+100since Sun 12:52 PM | +3-120since Sun 12:52 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -3-110opened -1.5 -110 | +3-110opened +1.5 -110 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -1.5 +100 | opened +1.5 -122 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -1.5 -103 | opened +1.5 -118 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -2.5 -110 | opened +2.5 -108 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened -1.5 -105 | opened +1.5 -117 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -3 -115 | opened +3 -105 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -1.5 -105 | opened +1.5 -117 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 12:50 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 12:19 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 12:39 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
- LeansEagles are an underdog in a division game. Teams in this spot are 1405-1286-75 ATS (52% cover); since 2018: 432-378-14.
8 more situations apply, all probably noise
- Probably noiseEagles are a home underdog. Teams in this spot are 1227-1206-69 ATS (50% cover); since 2018: 439-421-19.
- Probably noiseGiants are a road favorite. Teams in this spot are 1206-1227-69 ATS (50% cover); since 2018: 421-439-19.
- Probably noiseGiants are on their second straight road game. Teams in this spot are 1050-975-47 ATS (52% cover); since 2018: 322-330-15.
- Probably noiseEagles have lost 3+ straight. Teams in this spot are 945-880-48 ATS (52% cover); since 2018: 311-273-20.
- Probably noiseEagles are off a loss by 17+. Teams in this spot are 891-858-45 ATS (51% cover); since 2018: 268-266-8.
- Probably noiseGiants have 3+ more days of rest than their opponent. Teams in this spot are 719-691-32 ATS (51% cover); since 2018: 254-243-9.
- Probably noiseGiants are coming off a bye. Teams in this spot are 509-501-23 ATS (50% cover); since 2018: 144-151-7.
- Probably noiseGiants are off an upset win as a 7+ point underdog. Teams in this spot are 199-210-15 ATS (49% cover); since 2018: 55-68-3.
ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 1999. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Since 2018, in 139 games: overs 61-75-3 (45%), home teams 57-79-3 ATS (42%). Probably noise
Crew assignment from Football Zebras, published midweek.
Injury news
Starters on either team, from ESPN's injury feed (checked every 10 minutes), newest first, with how Pinnacle's line has reacted since each update.
- QuestionableDarius AlexanderGiants DT · starterThu 5:00 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Giants -3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableMalik NabersGiants WR · starterThu 1:44 PM ETNabers had his jersey and helmet on but worked with the Giants' training staff during the portion of Thursday's practice open to the media, Pat Leonard of the New York Daily News reports.Pinnacle has the Giants -3, unchanged since the app picked this up 2h after it was posted. It may have moved on the news before that; check the line chart.
- QuestionableJonathan GreenardEagles LB · starterWed 6:18 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Eagles +3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableJake ElliottEagles PK · starterWed 6:17 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Eagles +3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableSaquon BarkleyEagles RB · starterWed 6:16 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Eagles +3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableJermaine EluemunorGiants OT · starterWed 4:34 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Giants -3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- ActiveJevon HollandGiants S · starterWed 4:29 PM ETPinnacle still has the Giants -3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableCharlie JonesGiants WR · starterWed 4:27 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Giants -3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableAndrew ThomasGiants OT · starterWed 4:27 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Giants -3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableAbdul CarterGiants LB · starterWed 4:23 PM ETquestionablePinnacle still has the Giants -3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableGreg Newsome IIGiants CB · starterTue 5:37 PM ETThe Giants signed Newsome (concussion) to a three-year $46 million extension with $32 million guaranteed, NFL reporter Jordan Schultz.Pinnacle still has the Giants -3: the line hasn't reacted yet.
- QuestionableCam SkatteboGiants RB · starterMon 3:10 PM ETSkattebo (hamstring) was spotted working out off to the side during the Giants' unofficial practice session Monday, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports.No Pinnacle spread yet.
- OutJihaad CampbellEagles LB · starterMon 2:19 PM EToutNo Pinnacle spread yet.
- OutBritain CoveyEagles WR · starterMon 2:19 PM EToutNo Pinnacle spread yet.
- OutDeVonta SmithEagles WR · starterMon 2:19 PM EToutNo Pinnacle spread yet.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Lincoln Financial Field
Injuries
Giants
- RB Cam Skattebo · hamstring
- WR Charlie Jones · hand
Eagles
- WR DeVonta Smith · hamstring
- WR Britain Covey · knee
- WR Dontayvion Wicks · ankle
- LB Jihaad Campbell · hamstring
- CB Jonathan Jones · hamstring
- CB Michael Carter II · abdomen
- QB Tanner McKee · rib
Official NFL injury report (via nflverse, updated daily). Checked Sun 3:25 PM ET.