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Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears

NFL · Final · November 8
Final
Buccaneers 24Bears 27
Bottom line before the start

Sharp signals point to the Buccaneers: Circa money. BetMGM has Buccaneers +6.5 (-105), worth about +1.3% vs the sharp price.

The read before the start

Line timeline

Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.

Spread · 45 moves
  1. First seen at your books: Bears -6.5 / Bears -6 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, Bally Bet)

  2. Circa first seen: Bears -6 (-110)

  3. Pinnacle first seen: Bears -6.5 (-106)

Show 42 earlier moves
  1. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -5.5, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6 (-108) at BetRivers, still up for 16h 16m (until Mon, 11/2, 5:24 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 60% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  2. Circa Bears -5.5 → Bears -4, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +5.5 (-106) at Caesars, still up for 27h 50m (until Tue, 11/3, 9:30 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 63% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  3. Circa Bears -4 → Bears -4.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 3h 42m (until Mon, 11/2, 11:42 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 63% on the Bears.

  4. Circa Bears -4.5 → Bears -6, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-114) at Caesars, still up for 12h 50m (until Tue, 11/3, 9:30 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 73% on the Bears.

  5. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 33h 32m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears.

  6. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 32h 42m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  7. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 32h 24m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  8. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 32h 22m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  9. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 32h 20m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  10. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 31h 38m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  11. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 31h 36m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  12. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 31h 32m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  13. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 31h 16m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  14. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 31h 2m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  15. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 27h 54m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  16. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 27h 42m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  17. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 26h 36m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears.

  18. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 26h 20m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  19. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 26h 14m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears.

  20. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 8h 30m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  21. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 8h 26m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears.

  22. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 8h 20m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  23. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 8h 16m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears.

  24. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 7h 14m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  25. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 7h 10m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears.

  26. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 7h 4m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  27. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 7h 2m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 83% on the Bears.

  28. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 6h 14m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  29. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 6h 12m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  30. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 3h 20m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  31. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 3h 4m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears.

  32. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 3h 2m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  33. Pinnacle Bears -6.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 1h 14m (until Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  34. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-110) at theScore Bet, still up for 1h 22m (until Sun, 11/8, 1:34 AM).

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears.

  35. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  36. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-110) at theScore Bet, still up for 20 min (until Sun, 11/8, 1:34 AM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  37. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  38. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 4 min (until Sun, 11/8, 1:50 AM).

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears.

  39. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  40. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 49 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:11 AM).

    DraftKings bets then: 80% on the Bears.

  41. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -6, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 79% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  42. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 47 min (until Sun, 11/8, 10:57 AM).

    DraftKings bets then: 77% on the Bears.

  1. Circa Bears -14.5 → Bears -5.5, toward the Buccaneers

    Your books right then: best Buccaneers +6.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 77% on the Bears, so this move went against the public.

  2. Circa Bears -5.5 → Bears -6, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-110) at theScore Bet, still up for 15 min (until Sun, 11/8, 7:51 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 78% on the Bears.

  3. Circa Bears -6 → Bears -14.5, toward the Bears

    Your books right then: best Bears -6 (-114) at BetRivers, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 78% on the Bears.

  4. Pinnacle Bears -6 (-106) · Circa Bears -14.5 (+270)

    Best Bears at your books: Bears -6 (-110) at theScore Bet

    Best Buccaneers at your books: Buccaneers +6.5 (-105) at BetMGM

  • Best Bears all week: Bears -5 (-108 to -110) at BetMGM, Mon, 11/2, 5:41 PM to Mon, 11/2, 11:42 PM
  • Best Buccaneers all week: Buccaneers +6.5 (-114) at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 8:17 PM (still up)
Total · 9 moves
  1. First seen at your books: 48.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, Bally Bet)

  2. Circa first seen: 49 (-110)

  3. Pinnacle first seen: 46.5 (-108)

    Not the opener: your books had already moved from 48.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.

Show 6 earlier moves
  1. Circa 49 → 48, toward the Under

    Your books right then: best Under 47.5 (-109) at BetRivers, still up for 20h (until Mon, 11/2, 5:24 PM).

  2. Circa 48 → 47, toward the Under

    Your books right then: best Under 47.5 (-109) at BetRivers, still up for 18h 58m (until Mon, 11/2, 5:24 PM).

  3. Circa 47 → 46.5, toward the Under

    Your books right then: best Under 47 (-108) at Caesars, still up for 12h 50m (until Tue, 11/3, 9:30 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 50% on the Over.

  4. Circa 46.5 → 47.5, toward the Over

    Your books right then: best Over 46.5 (-112) at BetRivers, still up for 6 min (until Tue, 11/3, 8:04 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 75% on the Over.

  5. Pinnacle 46.5 → 47.5, toward the Over

    Your books right then: best Over 47.5 (-105) at BetMGM, still up for 1h 30m (until Wed, 11/4, 2:22 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 93% on the Over.

  6. Circa 47.5 → 40.5, toward the Under

    Your books right then: best Under 48.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 19h 16m (until Sat, 11/7, 2:44 PM).

    DraftKings bets then: 71% on the Over, so this move went against the public.

  1. Circa 40.5 → 47.5, toward the Over

    Your books right then: best Over 47.5 (-106) at Caesars, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 71% on the Over.

  2. Pinnacle 47.5 → 48.5, toward the Over

    Your books right then: best Over 47.5 (-106) at Caesars, still up now.

    DraftKings bets then: 70% on the Over.

  3. Pinnacle 48.5 → 47.5, toward the Under

    Your books right then: best Under 48.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 3h 56m (until Sun, 11/8, 4:04 AM).

    DraftKings bets then: 70% on the Over, so this move went against the public.

  4. Pinnacle 47.5 (-108) · Circa 47.5 (-115)

    Best Over at your books: Over 47.5 (-105) at theScore Bet

    Best Under at your books: Under 47.5 (-109) at BetRivers

  • Best Over all week: Over 46.5 (-110 to -112) at BetMGM, Tue, 11/3, 8:28 AM to Tue, 11/3, 7:30 PM
  • Best Under all week: Under 48.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sat, 11/7, 11:22 PM to Sun, 11/8, 4:04 AM

How the line moved

Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.

-7-6.5-6-5.5-5-4.5-4WedThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
Pinnacle (sharp)Kalshi (exchange, since Sep 24)FanDuelCaesarsBetMGMBetRiverstheScore BetBally BetKey numbers
BookBuccaneersBears
PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here+6-104-6-106
PinnacleFirst seen Mon, 11/2 · not the opener+6.5-106-6.5-106
ExchangesReference only · $12.3M traded on Kalshi+6.5-111Kalshi +6.5 -116 · Novig +6.5 -106 · Matchbook +6.5 -111 · SX Bet +6.5 -108 · Polymarket +6.5 -114 · ProphetX +6.5 -108 · Betfair +6.5 -113-6.5-100Kalshi -6.5 -103 · Novig -6.5 +104 · Matchbook -6.5 -100 · SX Bet -6.5 +104 · Polymarket -6.5 -101 · ProphetX -6.5 -100 · Betfair -6.5 -101
CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY+14.5-325since Sun 8:00 PM-14.5+270since Sun 8:00 PM
DraftKingsThe public's book · view only+6.5-105opened +6 -110-6.5-115opened -6 -110
FanDuelYour bookopened +6.5 -110check the app · unchanged 25 h
CaesarsYour bookopened +6 -110opened -6 -110
BetMGMYour bookopened +6 -108opened -6 -110
BetRiversYour bookopened +6.5 -108opened -6.5 -113
theScore BetYour bookopened +6 -105opened -6 -115
Bally BetYour bookopened +6.5 -108opened -6.5 -113

Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.

FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, BetRivers, theScore Bet and Bally Bet, every alternate line they offer.

Check a boost

Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.

Money vs tickets · Spread

Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.

Sharp read from the line

Pinnacle's line went from Bears −6.5 to −6: the money moving it is on the Buccaneers.

DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:10 PM

BuccaneersBears
% of bets
22%78%
% of money
21%79%

Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:19 PM

BuccaneersBears
% of bets
21%79%
% of money
60%40%

BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:19 PM

BuccaneersBears
% of bets
30%70%
% of money
Not published by this book

Trends & officials

How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.

Injury news

Starters on either team, from ESPN's injury feed (checked every 10 minutes), newest first, with how Pinnacle's line has reacted since each update.

Game context

Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.

Weather at kickoff

Soldier Field

47°FClear
8 mphwind, gusts to 19
0%chance of rain

Injuries

Buccaneers

Out
  • LB Yaya Diaby · knee
Questionable
  • WR Emeka Egbuka · foot

Bears

Questionable
  • RB Kyle Monangai · thumb
  • CB Tyrique Stevenson · thumb
  • CB Malik Muhammad · toe
Missed practice, no game status yet
  • RB Zavier Scott · wrist

Official NFL injury report (via nflverse, updated daily). Checked Sun 7:25 PM ET.