SharpstieriJacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titans
Pass: no sharp signals and no better price at your books.
- No sharp signals: the line hasn't moved against the public, big bettors haven't shown up in the splits, and there's been no steam move.
- No better price: every price at your three books is worse than Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted. That's normal most of the time: it's the book's cut (the red % in the price table).
What would make it a bet: A book falling behind a Pinnacle move, or sharp money showing up on one team. Both usually come in short bursts, and you'll get an alert when they do.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Sharps are on the over, but no price at your books is worth it. Skip it.
Now: Over 47.5 (+100) at theScore Bet (value −4.0%) · Pinnacle Over 47.5 (+100)
Only before the sharp move: BetMGM had Over 46 (-108) (Sun 8:49 PM ET), but not since Pinnacle moved to 47.5 (Sun 9:02 PM ET); the best since was Over 46.5 (-110) at FanDuel (−1.7%). It may not come back.
- Steam move: Pinnacle and 6 other books jumped the total up within an hour.
- Pinnacle's total moved 2 up since it opened.
- No better price right now: once the juice is counted, none of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price on the over by the +1.5% totals need.
What it would take: It would take Over 47 at +105 or better or Over 45.5 at -110, and that hasn't been offered since the sharp move. This isn't a forecast; alerts will tell you if it ever shows up.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Jaguars -9.5 since we started tracking it (Sun, Nov 8).
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 8:54 PM ET, Pinnacle and 6 other books moved the total the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $136K traded on Kalshi), the Titans are +368 to +426 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +359 and your best is +450.
- The total went 45.5 → 47.5 (toward the over).
Deep dive in Claude
Copies a ready-made request plus everything this page knows (every book's prices and moves, splits, injuries, weather, trends and the app's call). Paste it into the Claude app for a researched preview, a final-score prediction and the betting angle, fact-checked. Your Claude subscription covers it.
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 1 move
First seen at your books: Titans +9.5 (FanDuel)
Circa first seen: Titans +10 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: Titans +9.5 (-103)
Circa Titans +10 → Titans +9.5, toward the Titans
Your books right then: best Titans +10 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 14 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:30 PM).
Pinnacle Titans +9.5 (-103) · Circa Titans +9.5 (-110)
Best Titans at your books: Titans +10 (-110) at theScore Bet
Best Jaguars at your books: Jaguars -9 (-110) at BetRivers
- Best Titans all week: Titans +10.5 (-115) at FanDuel, Fri, 11/6, 1:10 AM to Fri, 11/6, 7:10 AM
- Best Jaguars all week: Jaguars -9 (-110) at Bally Bet, Sun, 11/8, 10:13 PM (still up)
Total · 2 moves
First seen at your books: 44.5 (FanDuel)
Circa first seen: 44.5 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: 45.5 (-120)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 44.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Pinnacle 45.5 → 47.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 46.5 (-110) at FanDuel, still up for 56 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:58 PM).
Circa 44.5 → 47, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 46.5 (-110) at FanDuel, still up for 42 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:58 PM).
Pinnacle 47.5 (+100) · Circa 47 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 47 (-108) at Caesars
Best Under at your books: Under 47.5 (-115) at FanDuel
- Best Over all week: Over 44.5 (-112) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 6:10 PM to Sun, 11/8, 8:34 PM
- Best Under all week: Under 47.5 (-115) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 9:58 PM (still up)
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Jaguars | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -9.5-109 | +9.5-103 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 · not the opener | -9.5-109 | +9.5-103 |
| ExchangesReference only · $4K traded on Kalshi | -9.5-120Kalshi -9.5 -121 · Novig -9.5 -106 · SX Bet -9.5 -120 · Polymarket -9.5 -119 · ProphetX -9.5 -124 | +9.5-105Kalshi +9.5 -108 · Novig +9.5 -104 · SX Bet +9.5 -107 · Polymarket +9.5 -105 · ProphetX +9.5 -102 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -9.5-110since Sun 9:16 PM | +9.5-110since Sun 9:16 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -9.5-115opened -8.5 -110 | +9.5-105opened +8.5 -110 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -9.5 -118 | check the app · unchanged 5 h |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -9.5 -113 | opened +9.5 -107 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -10 -108 | opened +10 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened -9.5 -112 | opened +9.5 -109 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -10 -115 | opened +10 -105 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -9.5 -112 | opened +9.5 -109 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 10:50 PM
Circa where pros bet
Not available for this game. Our splits provider only gets Circa's numbers for a few big games a week (this weekend, 2 of about 80 football games), so most games never show them. The DraftKings split plus the way Pinnacle's line moves is the read the app uses for the rest.
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
- LeansTitans are an underdog in a division game. Teams in this spot are 1405-1288-75 ATS (52% cover); since 2018: 432-380-14.
6 more situations apply, all probably noise
- Probably noiseTitans are a home underdog. Teams in this spot are 1228-1211-69 ATS (50% cover); since 2018: 440-426-19.
- Probably noiseJaguars are a road favorite. Teams in this spot are 1211-1228-69 ATS (50% cover); since 2018: 426-440-19.
- Probably noiseJaguars are on their second straight road game. Teams in this spot are 1052-977-47 ATS (52% cover); since 2018: 324-332-15.
- Probably noiseJaguars are off a win by 17+. Teams in this spot are 924-965-45 ATS (49% cover); since 2018: 288-284-9.
- Probably noiseTitans have 3+ more days of rest than their opponent. Teams in this spot are 723-693-32 ATS (51% cover); since 2018: 258-245-9.
- Probably noiseTitans are coming off a bye. Teams in this spot are 512-502-23 ATS (50% cover); since 2018: 147-152-7.
ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 1999. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.
This week's referee isn't posted yet (college crews aren't published).
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Nissan Stadium
Injuries
Jaguars
This week's report isn't out yet. Teams file it during the week before the game.
Titans
This week's report isn't out yet. Teams file it during the week before the game.
Official NFL injury report (via nflverse, updated daily). Checked Sun 9:25 PM ET.