SharpstieriVegas Golden KnightsatBuffalo Sabres
- The Golden Knights won (they closed at -116 on the moneyline).
- 5 total goals against a closing total of 6.5: the under hit.
Sharp signals point to the Golden Knights: Circa money, a steam move and the moneyline moving 4 points of win chance their way. BetRivers has the Golden Knights at -108, better than Pinnacle's fair -110.
The read before the start
- Pinnacle had the Golden Knights -101 (48.9% to win) on Sat, Nov 7. It's now -116 (52.4%), a move toward the Golden Knights.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 59% of moneyline bets and 18% of the money are on the Golden Knights.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 72% of bets but 96% of the money is on the Golden Knights: fewer, bigger bets.
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 2:31 PM ET, Pinnacle and 2 other books moved the moneyline the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- BetRivers has the Golden Knights -108. Pinnacle's fair price (its odds with the house cut removed) is -110, so your book is paying more than the sharp market thinks it should.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $75K traded on Kalshi), the Sabres are -105 to +105 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +105 and your best is +107.
- The total hasn't moved from 6.5.
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Moneyline · 1 move
First seen at your books: Sabres -102 / Sabres -107 / Sabres -105 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Sabres -111
Circa first seen: Sabres -104
Pinnacle Sabres win chance 51% → 48%, toward the Golden Knights
Your books right then: best Golden Knights -108 at BetRivers, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 59% on the Golden Knights.
Pinnacle Sabres +105 · Circa Sabres -101
Best Sabres at your books: Sabres +107 at Caesars
Best Golden Knights at your books: Golden Knights -108 at BetRivers
- Best Sabres all week: Sabres +107 at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 3:27 PM (still up)
- Best Golden Knights all week: Golden Knights -105 at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 8:16 AM to Sun, 11/8, 8:23 AM
Total · 0 moves
First seen at your books: 6.5 / 6 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 6.5 (-101)
Circa first seen: 6.5 (+100)
Pinnacle 6.5 (-102) · Circa 6.5 (-105)
Best Over at your books: Over 6.5 (+100) at theScore Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 6.5 (-115) at FanDuel
- Best Over all week: Over 6 (-130 to -135) at BetMGM, Sat, 11/7, 3:41 PM to Sun, 11/8, 8:13 AM
- Best Under all week: Under 6.5 (-115 to -118) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 8:13 AM (still up)
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Golden Knights | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -11652.5% fair | +10547.5% fair |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 · not the opener | -101 | -111 |
| ExchangesReference only · $75K traded on Kalshi | -110Kalshi -112 · Novig -104 · Matchbook -115 · SX Bet -108 · Polymarket -110 · ProphetX -110 · Betfair -113 | +101Kalshi -103 · Novig +102 · Matchbook +102 · SX Bet -100 · Polymarket -105 · ProphetX +105 · Betfair +101 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -111since Sun 3:02 PM | -101since Sun 3:02 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -122opened -112 | +102opened -108 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -118 | opened -102 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -110 | opened -107 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -115 | opened -105 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened -112 | opened -107 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -110 | opened -110 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -112 | opened -107 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price. Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Moneyline
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 3:19 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 2:19 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 3:29 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.