SharpstieriTampa Bay LightningatWinnipeg Jets
- The Jets won (they closed at +142 on the moneyline).
- 7 total goals against a closing total of 6: the over hit.
Sharp signals point to the Lightning: the moneyline moving 3 points of win chance their way. Bally Bet has the Lightning at -143, better than Pinnacle's fair -150.
The read before the start
- Pinnacle had the Lightning -143 (57.2% to win) on Sat, Nov 7. It's now -158 (59.7%), a move toward the Lightning.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 81% of moneyline bets and 82% of the money are on the Lightning.
- At Circa, where pros bet, 78% of the money and 64% of bets are on the Jets.
- Bally Bet has the Lightning -143. Pinnacle's fair price (its odds with the house cut removed) is -150, so your book is paying more than the sharp market thinks it should.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $620K traded on Kalshi), the Jets are +128 to +147 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +142 and your best is +140.
- The total went 6.5 → 6 (toward the under).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Moneyline · 2 moves
First seen at your books: Jets +122 / Jets +109 / Jets +115 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Circa first seen: Jets +125
Pinnacle first seen: Jets +127
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Jets +109 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa Jets win chance 43% → 40%, toward the Lightning
Your books right then: best Lightning -148 at BetRivers, still up for 21 min (until Sun, 11/8, 5:59 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 82% on the Lightning.
Pinnacle Jets win chance 43% → 40%, toward the Lightning
Your books right then: best Lightning -148 at BetRivers, still up for 16 min (until Sun, 11/8, 5:59 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 81% on the Lightning.
Pinnacle Jets +142 · Circa Jets +140
Best Jets at your books: Jets +140 at Caesars
Best Lightning at your books: Lightning -143 at Bally Bet
- Best Jets all week: Jets +150 at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 5:48 PM to Sun, 11/8, 5:49 PM
- Best Lightning all week: Lightning -129 at Caesars, Sat, 11/7, 11:03 AM to Sat, 11/7, 11:36 AM
Total · 1 move
First seen at your books: 6.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Circa first seen: 6.5 (+100)
Pinnacle first seen: 6.5 (+104)
Pinnacle 6.5 → 6, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 6.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up for 8 min (until Sun, 11/8, 5:51 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 62% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle 6 (-119) · Circa 6.5 (+100)
Best Over at your books: Over 6.5 (+105) at theScore Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 6.5 (-120) at BetMGM
- Best Over all week: Over 6 (-120 to -125) at BetMGM, Sat, 11/7, 3:21 PM to Sun, 11/8, 8:13 AM
- Best Under all week: Under 6.5 (-120) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 8:13 AM (still up)
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Lightning | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -15860.1% fair | +14239.9% fair |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 | -143 | +127 |
| ExchangesReference only · $620K traded on Kalshi | -157Kalshi -175 · Novig -156 · Matchbook -157 · SX Bet -152 · Polymarket -165 · ProphetX -155 · Betfair -157 | +139Kalshi +128 · Novig +144 · Matchbook +137 · SX Bet +147 · Polymarket +137 · ProphetX +145 · Betfair +139 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -156since Sun 5:38 PM | +140since Sun 5:38 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -162opened -125 | +136opened +105 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -146 | opened +122 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -129 | opened +109 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -145 | opened +120 |
| BetRiversYour book | – | – |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -140 | opened +120 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -137 | opened +115 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price. Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Moneyline
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 5:50 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 5:40 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 5:40 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.