SharpstieriMiami HeatatSacramento Kings
- The Heat won (they closed at -574 on the moneyline).
- Against the closing spread, the Kings covered +12.
- 222 total points against a closing total of 236: the under hit.
Sharp signals point to the Heat: Circa money, a steam move and the line moving 3.5 points their way. BetRivers has Heat -10.5 (-113), worth about +3.2% vs the sharp price.
The read before the start
- Pinnacle had Heat -8.5 on Sat, Nov 7. It's now -12, 3.5 points toward the Heat.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 54% of spread bets and 65% of the money are on the Kings.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 50% of bets but 92% of the money is on the Heat: fewer, bigger bets.
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 8:18 AM ET, Pinnacle and 4 other books moved the spread the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- BetRivers has Heat -10.5 (-113) vs Pinnacle's -12: 1.5 points better. Counting the juice, it's worth about +3.2% vs the sharp price.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $653K traded on Kalshi), the Kings are +433 to +488 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +455 and your best is +425.
- The total went 239.5 → 236 (toward the under).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 9 moves
First seen at your books: Kings +9.5 / Kings +8.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Kings +8.5 (-105)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Kings +9.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: Kings +8.5 (-110)
Show 6 earlier moves
Circa Kings +8.5 → Kings +9.5, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -8.5 (-110) at BetMGM, still up for 1 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 58% on the Kings.
Pinnacle Kings +8.5 → Kings +9, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -8.5 (-118) at BetRivers, still up for 30 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:58 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 58% on the Kings.
Pinnacle Kings +9 → Kings +9.5, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -8.5 (-118) at BetRivers, still up for 15 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:58 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 60% on the Kings, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle Kings +9.5 → Kings +10, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -9.5 (-110) at FanDuel, still up for 15 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:28 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 57% on the Kings.
Circa Kings +9.5 → Kings +10, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -9.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 8h 12m (until Sun, 11/8, 5:46 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 58% on the Kings.
Pinnacle Kings +10 → Kings +11, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -10.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 2h 3m (until Sun, 11/8, 8:01 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 54% on the Kings.
Circa Kings +10 → Kings +11, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -10.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 2h 1m (until Sun, 11/8, 8:01 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 54% on the Kings.
Circa Kings +11 → Kings +11.5, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -10.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, still up for 3 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:07 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 57% on the Kings.
Pinnacle Kings +11 → Kings +12, toward the Heat
Your books right then: best Heat -11.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, still up for 3 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:16 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 57% on the Kings.
Pinnacle Kings +12 (-111) · Circa Kings +11.5 (-110)
Best Kings at your books: Kings +12.5 (-109) at Bally Bet
Best Heat at your books: Heat -10.5 (-113) at BetRivers
- Best Kings all week: Kings +13.5 (-157) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 5:46 PM to Sun, 11/8, 5:47 PM
- Best Heat all week: Heat -7.5 (-167) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 5:47 PM to Sun, 11/8, 5:48 PM
Total · 5 moves
First seen at your books: 240.5 / 238.5 / 239.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 239.5 (-106)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 240.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: 238 (-110)
Show 2 earlier moves
Pinnacle 239.5 → 238, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 239.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 9 min (until Sat, 11/7, 9:14 PM).
Circa 238 → 236.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 238.5 (-114) at FanDuel, still up for 1h 56m (until Sun, 11/8, 5:46 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 57% on the Under.
Pinnacle 238 → 236.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 236.5 (-105) at FanDuel, still up for 2h 9m (until Sun, 11/8, 8:07 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 56% on the Under.
Circa 236.5 → 235.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 236.5 (-105) at FanDuel, still up for 3 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:07 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 55% on the Under.
Pinnacle 236.5 → 236, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 236.5 (-109) at BetRivers, still up for 23 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:36 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 54% on the Under.
Pinnacle 236 (+103) · Circa 235.5 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 235.5 (-105) at theScore Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 235.5 (-110) at FanDuel
- Best Over all week: Over 230.5 (-190) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 5:47 PM to Sun, 11/8, 5:48 PM
- Best Under all week: Under 240.5 (-110 to -115) at FanDuel, Sat, 11/7, 6:08 PM to Sat, 11/7, 8:57 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Heat | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -12+100 | +12-111 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 · not the opener | -8.5-105 | +8.5-105 |
| ExchangesReference only · $342K traded on Kalshi | -11.5-105Kalshi -11.5 -112 · Novig -11.5 -104 · Matchbook -11.5 -106 · SX Bet -11.5 -100 · Polymarket -11.5 -105 · ProphetX -11.5 -103 · Betfair -11.5 -113 | +11.5-104Kalshi +11.5 -112 · Novig +11.5 -104 · Matchbook +11.5 -107 · SX Bet +11.5 -103 · Polymarket +11.5 -110 · ProphetX +11.5 -100 · Betfair +11.5 -103 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -11.5-110since Sun 8:04 PM | +11.5-110since Sun 8:04 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -11.5-115opened -8.5 -114 | +11.5-105opened +8.5 -106 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -9.5 -110 | opened +9.5 -110 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -8.5 -110 | opened +8.5 -110 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -8.5 -110 | opened +8.5 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened -9.5 -105 | opened +9.5 -118 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -8.5 -115 | opened +8.5 -105 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -9.5 -105 | opened +9.5 -118 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:50 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:39 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:40 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.