SharpstieriBrooklyn NetsatDallas Mavericks
- The Mavericks won (they closed at -303 on the moneyline).
- Against the closing spread, the Mavericks covered -7.5.
- 223 total points against a closing total of 224: the under hit.
Sharp signals point to the Nets: a reverse line move, Circa money, a steam move and the line moving 1.5 points their way. Exchanges lean further toward the Nets than Pinnacle does. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read before the start
- Pinnacle had Mavericks -9 on Sat, Nov 7. It's now -7.5, 1.5 points toward the Nets.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 74% of spread bets and 98% of the money are on the Mavericks.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 33% of bets but 95% of the money is on the Nets: fewer, bigger bets.
- That's reverse line movement: most bets are on the Mavericks, but the line moved toward the Nets. Books move against the crowd when respected money hits the other side.
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 8:08 AM ET, Pinnacle and 4 other books moved the spread the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $275K traded on Kalshi), the Nets are +239 to +270 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +260 and your best is +240. Exchanges give the Nets a 27.7% chance vs Pinnacle's 25.9%.
- The total went 219 → 224 (toward the over).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 7 moves
First seen at your books: Mavericks -8.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Mavericks -9 (-105)
Circa first seen: Mavericks -9.5 (-110)
Show 4 earlier moves
Pinnacle Mavericks -9 → Mavericks -9.5, toward the Mavericks
Your books right then: best Mavericks -8.5 (-139) at BetRivers, still up for 2h 20m (until Sun, 11/8, 7:28 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 64% on the Mavericks.
Pinnacle Mavericks -9.5 → Mavericks -8.5, toward the Nets
Your books right then: best Nets +8.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 1h 10m (until Sun, 11/8, 9:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 54% on the Mavericks.
Circa Mavericks -9.5 → Mavericks -8, toward the Nets
Your books right then: best Nets +8.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 1h 1m (until Sun, 11/8, 9:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 56% on the Mavericks.
Pinnacle Mavericks -8.5 → Mavericks -7.5, toward the Nets
Your books right then: best Nets +8.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 55 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 56% on the Mavericks.
Circa Mavericks -8 → Mavericks -7, toward the Nets
Your books right then: best Nets +7.5 (-105) at FanDuel, still up for 6 min (until Sun, 11/8, 2:08 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 66% on the Mavericks, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle Mavericks -7.5 → Mavericks -7, toward the Nets
Your books right then: best Nets +7.5 (-110) at FanDuel, still up for 57 min (until Sun, 11/8, 6:25 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 67% on the Mavericks, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle Mavericks -7 → Mavericks -7.5, toward the Mavericks
Your books right then: best Mavericks -7.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 72% on the Mavericks.
Pinnacle Mavericks -7.5 (-103) · Circa Mavericks -7 (-110)
Best Mavericks at your books: Mavericks -7 (-115) at Caesars
Best Nets at your books: Nets +7.5 (-109) at BetRivers
- Best Mavericks all week: Mavericks -6.5 (-125) at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 7:28 PM to Sun, 11/8, 7:29 PM
- Best Nets all week: Nets +10.5 (-112) at Bally Bet, Sun, 11/8, 7:23 AM to Sun, 11/8, 7:28 AM
Total · 10 moves
First seen at your books: 218.5 / 219.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 219 (-106)
Circa first seen: 221.5 (-110)
Show 7 earlier moves
Pinnacle 219 → 220.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 218.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 1h 35m (until Sun, 11/8, 4:18 AM).
Pinnacle 220.5 → 219.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 219.5 (-110) at Caesars, still up for 15 min (until Sun, 11/8, 3:58 AM).
Pinnacle 219.5 → 220.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 218.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up for 10 min (until Sun, 11/8, 4:18 AM).
Pinnacle 220.5 → 222, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 219.5 (-129) at BetRivers, still up for 3h 5m (until Sun, 11/8, 7:28 AM).
Pinnacle 222 → 220.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 220.5 (-110) at FanDuel, still up for 4h 25m (until Sun, 11/8, 9:03 AM).
Pinnacle 220.5 → 222, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 219.5 (-129) at BetRivers, still up for 2h 20m (until Sun, 11/8, 7:28 AM).
Pinnacle 222 → 221.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 221.5 (-115) at Caesars, still up for 10 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:08 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 70% on the Over, so this move went against the public.
Circa 221.5 → 223.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 220.5 (-117) at BetRivers, still up for 2 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:18 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 73% on the Over.
Pinnacle 221.5 → 222.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 221.5 (-114) at FanDuel, still up for 20 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:48 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 73% on the Over.
Pinnacle 222.5 → 224, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 222.5 (-114) at FanDuel, still up for 2 min (until Sun, 11/8, 2:58 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 63% on the Over.
Pinnacle 224 (-105) · Circa 223.5 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 223.5 (-110) at FanDuel
Best Under at your books: Under 224.5 (-110) at BetRivers
- Best Over all week: Over 218.5 (-115) at FanDuel, Sat, 11/7, 10:53 PM to Sun, 11/8, 4:18 AM
- Best Under all week: Under 224.5 (-110) at Bally Bet, Sun, 11/8, 7:20 PM (still up)
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Nets | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +7.5-107 | -7.5-103 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 · not the opener | +9-105 | -9-105 |
| ExchangesReference only · $87K traded on Kalshi | +7.5-109Kalshi +7.5 -116 · Novig +7.5 -106 · Matchbook +7.5 -109 · SX Bet +7.5 -107 · Polymarket +7.5 -110 · ProphetX +7.5 -105 · Betfair +7.5 -112 | -7.5-100Kalshi -7.5 -103 · Novig -7.5 +102 · Matchbook -7.5 -100 · SX Bet -7.5 +104 · Polymarket -7.5 -105 · ProphetX -7.5 -100 · Betfair -7.5 -101 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | +7-110since Sun 2:02 PM | -7-110since Sun 2:02 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | +7.5-113opened +8.5 -110 | -7.5-107opened -8.5 -110 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened +8.5 -110 | opened -8.5 -110 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened +8.5 -110 | opened -8.5 -110 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened +8.5 -110 | opened -8.5 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened +8.5 -109 | opened -8.5 -113 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened +8.5 -110 | opened -8.5 -110 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened +8.5 -109 | opened -8.5 -113 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 7:20 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 6:59 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 7:10 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.