SharpstieriNew York IslandersatSan Jose Sharks
Too late: the sharp move on the Islanders already happened. Don't chase it.
Now: Islanders -127 at BetRivers (value +0.2%) · Pinnacle -135
Never offered at your books (the best in the last day was Islanders -125 at theScore Bet, +0.9%). It may never come, so don't count on it.
Close to fair For fun only: Islanders -127 at BetRivers is +0.2% vs Pinnacle's fair price, roughly break-even. Not an edge; keep it small (no more than $25 to win).
- Reverse line move: 61% of bets are on the Sharks, but Pinnacle moved toward the Islanders.
- Better than fair, but not by enough: BetRivers' Islanders -127 is worth about +0.2% vs Pinnacle's fair price (Pinnacle: -128). A call needs +1% on a side: "fair" is itself an estimate (Pinnacle's cut has to be taken out, and that's never exact), so an edge under 1% can't be told apart from none.
If you still want it: Only bet it if a book shows Islanders -124 or better before kickoff.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Sharp signals point to the Islanders: a reverse line move. Your books don't beat Pinnacle's fair price right now.
The read
- Pinnacle had the Islanders -127 (54.4% to win) on Sun, Nov 8. It's now -135 (55.8%), a move toward the Islanders.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 61% of moneyline bets and 39% of the money are on the Sharks.
- That's reverse line movement: most bets are on the Sharks, but the line moved toward the Islanders. Books move against the crowd when respected money hits the other side.
- None of your books pays more than Pinnacle's fair price (its odds with the house cut removed), so there's no lagging price to grab right now.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $5K traded on Kalshi), the Sharks are +114 to +130 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +120 and your best is +112.
- The total hasn't moved from 6.
Deep dive in Claude
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Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Moneyline · 0 moves
First seen at your books: Sharks +110 / Sharks +111 / Sharks +108 / Sharks +105 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Sharks +113
Circa first seen: Sharks +118
Pinnacle Sharks +120 · Circa Sharks +118
Best Sharks at your books: Sharks +112 at FanDuel
Best Islanders at your books: Islanders -127 at BetRivers
- Best Sharks all week: Sharks +115 at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 8:07 PM to Sun, 11/8, 8:08 PM
- Best Islanders all week: Islanders -125 at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 12:16 PM to Sun, 11/8, 5:16 PM
Total · 2 moves
First seen at your books: 5.5 / 6.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Bally Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 6 (-113)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 5.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: 6.5 (+100)
Pinnacle 6 → 6.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 6 (-130) at BetMGM, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 67% on the Under, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle 6.5 → 6, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 6.5 (-118) at FanDuel, still up for 2h (until Mon, 11/9, 2:03 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 67% on the Under.
Pinnacle 6 (-118) · Circa 6.5 (-105)
Best Over at your books: Over 6 (-130) at BetMGM
Best Under at your books: Under 6.5 (-115) at FanDuel
- Best Over all week: Over 5.5 (-140 to -142) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 11:11 AM to Sun, 11/8, 8:43 PM
- Best Under all week: Under 6.5 (-121) at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 9:03 PM (still up)
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Islanders | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -13556.1% fair | +12043.9% fair |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 | -127 | +113 |
| ExchangesReference only · $5K traded on Kalshi | -135Kalshi -143 · Novig -127 · Matchbook -146 · SX Bet -133 · Polymarket -145 · ProphetX -135 · Betfair -135 | +121Kalshi +118 · Novig +127 · Matchbook +116 · SX Bet +130 · Polymarket +121 · ProphetX +121 · Betfair +114 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -131since Sun 8:52 PM | +118since Sun 8:52 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -135opened -130 | +114opened +110 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -132 | opened +110 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -130 | opened +111 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened here | opened here |
| BetRiversYour book | opened -129 | opened +108 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -125 | opened +105 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -129 | opened +108 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price. Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Moneyline
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Mon, Nov 9, 1:30 AM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Mon, Nov 9, 1:20 AM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.