SharpstieriOregon DucksatUSC Trojans
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. FanDuel has Oregon Ducks -2.5, better than the sharp -3.
The read
- Pinnacle had Oregon Ducks -2.5 on Sun, Sep 20. It's now -3, half a point toward the Oregon Ducks, onto the key number 3.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 53% of spread bets and 63% of the money are on the Oregon Ducks.
- FanDuel still has Oregon Ducks -2.5. Pinnacle is at -3, so that's half a point better than the sharp number, and it sits on a key number.
- On the exchanges (reference only), the USC Trojans are +138 to +144 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +135 and your best is +130.
- The total hasn't moved from 62.
Ask Claude
Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.
Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Oregon Ducks | USC Trojans |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -3-106 | +3-108 |
| PinnacleFirst seen | -2.5-115 | +2.5-102 |
| ExchangesReference only | -3-107Novig -2.5 -125 · Matchbook -3 -108 · SX Bet -3 -107 | +3+101Novig +2.5 +122 · Matchbook +3 -108 · SX Bet +3 +101 |
| FanDuelYour book | ||
| CaesarsYour book | ||
| BetMGMYour book |
Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (points). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Thu, Sep 24, 7:38 PM
Circa where pros bet
Not posted for this game yet. Circa usually posts a day or two before kickoff. You'll get an alert when it does, and it refreshes every 10 minutes after that.
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
None of the situations in this game stand out: every record is close enough to 50/50 to be luck.
5 more situations apply, all probably noise
- Probably noiseUSC are an underdog in a conference game. Teams in this spot are 1111-1058-34 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 560-547-18.
- Probably noiseOregon are off a win by 17+. Teams in this spot are 845-823-35 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 472-453-17.
- Probably noiseUSC are a home underdog. Teams in this spot are 557-531-21 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 293-274-9.
- Probably noiseOregon are a road favorite. Teams in this spot are 531-557-21 ATS (49% cover); since 2024: 274-293-9.
- Probably noiseUSC have won 3+ straight. Teams in this spot are 494-503-18 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 245-262-4.
ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 2022. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.
This week's referee isn't posted yet (college crews aren't published).
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.