SharpstieriCleveland GuardiansatBoston Red Sox
Score updates every few minutes. The lines and read below are from before the start.
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. Your books don't beat Pinnacle's fair price right now.
The read before the start
- The moneyline has barely moved. Pinnacle has the Red Sox -120, a 53.5% chance to win.
- None of your books pays more than Pinnacle's fair price (its odds with the house cut removed), so there's no lagging price to grab right now.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $553K traded on Kalshi), the Guardians are +114 to +117 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +111 and your best is +112.
- The total hasn't moved from 6.5.
- On the mound: Daniel Espino (righty) for the Guardians vs Ranger Suarez (lefty) for the Red Sox.
Ask Claude
Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.
Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Guardians | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +11146.5% fair | -12053.5% fair |
| PinnacleFirst seen | +111 | -120 |
| ExchangesReference only · $553K traded on Kalshi | +115Kalshi +115 · Novig +115 · Matchbook +114 · SX Bet +117 · Polymarket +115 | -117Kalshi -115 · Novig -117 · Matchbook -119 · SX Bet -119 · Polymarket -115 |
| FanDuelYour book | ||
| CaesarsYour book | ||
| BetMGMYour book |
Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (dollars won per $100 bet). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Money vs tickets · Moneyline
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Circa (the sharp book) doesn't publish baseball splits, so DraftKings is the only money read here. For sharp signals in baseball, lean on how the line moves at Pinnacle.
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Thu, Sep 24, 6:40 PM
Umpire
Who's calling balls and strikes, and how his games have played.
Plate umpire: Quinn Wolcott
His games this season average 10.1 total runs vs 9 across MLB, over 8 games. Probably noise
From MLB's own feed. Umpire tendencies need a lot of games to mean anything.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at first pitch
Fenway Park
Starting pitchers
Guardians
Daniel EspinoRight-handed · probable
Red Sox
Ranger SuarezLeft-handed · probable
From MLB's probable pitchers, updated daily. A late scratch can move the line a lot.