Sharpstieri

MLB

20 games in the next 8 days · 4 with something worth a look

Sharpstieri
NFLCollege footballMLBNBANHLOnly games with signals
What the tags mean
Reverse line move
Most people bet one side, but the line moves toward the other side. Books normally move toward where the money is, so moving against the crowd usually means a smaller number of respected, bigger bettors are on the other side. It's the best-known sharp signal.
Big money
One side has a much bigger share of the money than of the bets. Example: 30% of bets but 70% of the money means a few large bets. At Circa, where professionals bet, this matters most.
Steam move
Pinnacle and at least two other books move the line the same way within about an hour. That usually happens when a lot of money hits at once, often from sharp bettors. Your books moving together without Pinnacle doesn't count; that's usually a routine reset.
Key number
In football, many games end with a 3- or 7-point margin. A spread moving across 3 or 7 (say -2.5 to -3.5) changes more games' results than an ordinary half point.
Better number at your book
FanDuel, Caesars or BetMGM is offering a better line than Pinnacle, the sharp market. Books that lag behind the sharp number are where value usually is.
Big move / total moved
The line or total has moved a lot since it opened. Something changed: injuries, weather, or money.
Pinnacle
The sportsbook professional bettors trust most. It takes big bets and moves its line fast, so its number is treated as the "sharp" price. You can't bet there; it's the yardstick.
DraftKings vs Circa splits
DraftKings shows what everyday bettors are doing (the public). Circa, a Las Vegas book, takes big bets from pros. When the two disagree, Circa usually tells you where the smart money is. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits.
Exchanges (Kalshi, Novig, Matchbook, SX Bet, Polymarket)
Markets where bettors trade with each other and the site takes a small fee instead of building a margin into the odds. Their prices sit close to the true market, and Kalshi shows how much money has traded. Shown for research only; your best price is still from FanDuel, Caesars and BetMGM.
ATS (against the spread)
A team's record once the spread is counted. If a team is +4.5 and loses by 3, that's a win ATS. 8-29 ATS means teams in that spot covered the spread 8 times and failed 29 times.
Trends and their labels
A trend is how teams in the same spot did ATS, against the closing spread (e.g. 'off an overtime win on a short week: 4-19 ATS'). The app checks the same fixed list of spots for every game and labels each: 'Worth noting' is unlikely to be luck even after counting how many spots were checked; 'Leans' could be luck; 'Probably noise' is close enough to 50/50 to ignore. TV trends skip this step.
Closing line value (CLV)
Did you get a better number than where the line ended up at kickoff? Bettors who beat the closing line over time tend to win; it's the honest scorecard on My Bets.

Moving now

Where Pinnacle, the sharp book, moved in the last 6 hours. Sharp money moves the line before splits show it. All alerts

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The games where the market is telling you the most right now.

  1. Angels @ MarinersThu 9:41 PM87% of bets are on the Mariners, but the line moved toward the Angels. Books usually move toward the public; moving the other way points to bigger, sharper bets on the Angels.
Thursday, Sep 24
Friday, Sep 25