SharpstieriSan Diego PadresatLos Angeles Dodgers
Pass: no sharp signals and no better number at your books.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Check My Bets to see if you're beating the closing line.
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. Your books don't beat Pinnacle's fair price right now.
The read
- Pinnacle had the Dodgers -169 (61.3% to win) on Wed, Sep 23. It's now -163 (60.7%), a move toward the Padres.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 76% of moneyline bets and 89% of the money are on the Dodgers.
- None of your books pays more than Pinnacle's fair price (its odds with the house cut removed), so there's no lagging price to grab right now.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $490K traded on Kalshi), the Padres are +152 to +160 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +149 and your best is +146.
- The total hasn't moved from 7.5.
- On the mound: Nick Pivetta (righty) for the Padres vs Tyler Glasnow (righty) for the Dodgers.
Ask Claude
Ask anything about this game: buying points, whether to wait, what a signal means.
Claude sees every price, split, the weather and injuries on this page, plus any screenshot you add (paste, drag in, or tap + Screenshot; up to 4 per conversation). It's a second opinion, not a guarantee. Each question costs a few cents.
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +14939.3% fair | -16360.7% fair |
| PinnacleFirst seen | +152 | -169 |
| ExchangesReference only · $490K traded on Kalshi | +156Kalshi +160 · Novig +156 · Matchbook +152 · SX Bet +157 · Polymarket +153 | -156Kalshi -153 · Novig -156 · Matchbook -156 · SX Bet -160 · Polymarket -153 |
| FanDuelYour book | ||
| CaesarsYour book | ||
| BetMGMYour book |
Best = the best price at your three books. ▲ / ▼ = better or worse than Pinnacle's sharp price (dollars won per $100 bet). Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Money vs tickets · Moneyline
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Circa (the sharp book) doesn't publish baseball splits, so DraftKings is the only money read here. For sharp signals in baseball, lean on how the line moves at Pinnacle.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Thu, Sep 24, 8:38 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Thu, Sep 24, 8:40 PM
Umpire
Who's calling balls and strikes, and how his games have played.
Plate umpire: Will Little
His games this season average 9.2 total runs vs 9 across MLB, over 13 games. Probably noise
From MLB's own feed. Umpire tendencies need a lot of games to mean anything.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at first pitch
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Starting pitchers
Padres
Nick PivettaRight-handed · probable
Dodgers
Tyler GlasnowRight-handed · probable
From MLB's probable pitchers, updated daily. A late scratch can move the line a lot.