SharpstieriHouston CougarsatCalifornia Golden Bears
- Houston won (they closed at -4500 on the moneyline).
- Against the closing spread, California covered +20.
- 154 total points against a closing total of 143: the over hit.
Sharp signals point to Houston: Circa money, a steam move and the line moving 2 points their way. Bally Bet has Houston -19.5 (-108), worth about +2.3% vs the sharp price.
The read before the start
- Pinnacle had Houston -18 on Sat, Nov 7. It's now -20, 2 points toward Houston.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 64% of spread bets and 44% of the money are on Houston.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 56% of bets but 76% of the money is on Houston: fewer, bigger bets.
- The sharpest moment: around Sat, Nov 7, 10:23 PM ET, Pinnacle and 4 other books moved the spread the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- Bally Bet has Houston -19.5 (-108) vs Pinnacle's -20: half a point better. Counting the juice, it's worth about +2.3% vs the sharp price.
- The total went 145 → 143 (toward the under).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 5 moves
First seen at your books: California +15.5 / California +19.5 (Caesars, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: California +18 (-112)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from California +15.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: California +18 (-110)
Show 2 earlier moves
Pinnacle California +18 → California +19.5, toward Houston
Your books right then: best Houston -17.5 (-137) at BetRivers, still up for 10h 30m (until Sun, 11/8, 8:53 AM).
Circa California +18 → California +20, toward Houston
Your books right then: best Houston -17.5 (-137) at BetRivers, still up for 10h 21m (until Sun, 11/8, 8:53 AM).
Circa California +20 → California +20.5, toward Houston
Your books right then: best Houston -17.5 (-167) at Bally Bet, still up for 9 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:09 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 71% on Houston.
Circa California +20.5 → California +20, toward California
Your books right then: best California +20 (-110) at Caesars, still up for 17 min (until Sun, 11/8, 10:49 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 80% on Houston, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle California +19.5 → California +20, toward Houston
Your books right then: best Houston -19.5 (-109) at Bally Bet, still up for 3h 33m (until Sun, 11/8, 8:17 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 69% on Houston.
Pinnacle California +20 (-106) · Circa California +20 (-110)
Best California at your books: California +19.5 (-105) at BetMGM
Best Houston at your books: Houston -19.5 (-108) at Bally Bet
- Best California all week: California +20.5 (-110) at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 7:43 PM to Sun, 11/8, 7:53 PM
- Best Houston all week: Houston -15.5 (-110) at Caesars, Sat, 11/7, 12:38 PM to Sat, 11/7, 2:53 PM
Total · 4 moves
First seen at your books: 145 / 143.5 (Caesars, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 145 (-115)
Circa first seen: 145 (-110)
Show 1 earlier move
Circa 145 → 144, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 145.5 (-110) at Caesars, still up for 2 min (until Sun, 11/8, 11:02 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 67% on the Under.
Pinnacle 145 → 144, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 143.5 (-107) at Bally Bet, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 67% on the Under.
Circa 144 → 143, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 143.5 (-107) at Bally Bet, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 67% on the Under.
Pinnacle 144 → 143, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 143.5 (-107) at Bally Bet, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 67% on the Under.
Pinnacle 143 (-107) · Circa 143 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 142.5 (-115) at theScore Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 143.5 (-107) at Bally Bet
- Best Over all week: Over 142.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 8:29 PM (still up)
- Best Under all week: Under 146.5 (-110) at Caesars, Sat, 11/7, 6:53 PM to Sat, 11/7, 8:13 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Houston | California |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -20-110 | +20-106 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 · not the opener | -18-106 | +18-112 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -20-110since Sun 10:32 AM | +20-110since Sun 10:32 AM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -19.5-110opened -17.5 -115 | +19.5-110opened +17.5 -105 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -17.5 -102 | opened +17.5 -120 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -15.5 -110 | opened +15.5 -110 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -17.5 -110 | opened +17.5 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened -17.5 -115 | opened +17.5 -108 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -19.5 -105 | opened +19.5 -115 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -17.5 -114 | opened +17.5 -107 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 7:30 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.