SharpstieriCollege hoops
63 games in the next 8 days · 33 with something worth a look
What the tags mean
- Take it now
- The sharp signals point to a team AND one of your books still has a better number than Pinnacle. Bet it at that book before it catches up.
- Sharp side: wait
- Sharps are on a team, and one of your books has offered a good enough price since the sharp move, so it can realistically come around again. The box names the price; bet only if a book offers it.
- Sharp side: no bet
- The sharps are on a team (or the over/under), but no price at your books is worth betting, and none good enough has been offered since the sharp move. The box shows what price it would take, but that's not a prediction: lines rarely move back against sharp money. Skip it unless an alert says otherwise.
- Too late
- The sharp move already happened, kickoff is close, and no book has an old number left. Don't chase it.
- Pass
- No clear sharp side (a better number alone isn't enough). Most games are a pass; skipping them is part of betting like a sharp.
- Unit
- Your standard bet: 1–2% of the money you've set aside for betting. Bet the same size every time and never raise it to win back losses.
- Reverse line move
- Most people bet one side, but the line moves toward the other side. Books normally move toward where the money is, so moving against the crowd usually means a smaller number of respected, bigger bettors are on the other side. It's the best-known sharp signal.
- Big money
- One side has a much bigger share of the money than of the bets. Example: 30% of bets but 70% of the money means a few large bets. At Circa, where professionals bet, this matters most.
- Steam move
- Pinnacle and at least two other books move the line the same way within about an hour. That usually happens when a lot of money hits at once, often from sharp bettors. Your books moving together without Pinnacle doesn't count; that's usually a routine reset.
- Key number
- In football, many games end with a 3- or 7-point margin. A spread moving across 3 or 7 (say -2.5 to -3.5) changes more games' results than an ordinary half point.
- Better price at your book
- FanDuel, Caesars or BetMGM is offering something worth at least 1% more than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice. A better number with heavy juice (say +3 at -117 vs Pinnacle's +2.5 at +101) can still be the worse bet, so the app scores both together.
- Value %
- How much better (+) or worse (−) a price is than Pinnacle's fair price, per dollar bet, after the juice. +2% means about 2 cents better per dollar than a fair bet. Half points are valued from how often games land on each margin (3 and 7 matter most).
- Big move / total moved
- The line or total has moved a lot since it opened. Something changed: injuries, weather, or money.
- Pinnacle
- The sportsbook professional bettors trust most. It takes big bets and moves its line fast, so its number is treated as the "sharp" price. You can't bet there; it's the yardstick.
- DraftKings vs Circa splits
- DraftKings shows what everyday bettors are doing (the public). Circa, a Las Vegas book, takes big bets from pros. When the two disagree, Circa usually tells you where the smart money is. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits.
- Exchanges (Kalshi, Novig, Matchbook, SX Bet, Polymarket)
- Markets where bettors trade with each other and the site takes a small fee instead of building a margin into the odds. Their prices sit close to the true market, and Kalshi shows how much money has traded. Shown for research only; your best price is still from FanDuel, Caesars and BetMGM.
- ATS (against the spread)
- A team's record once the spread is counted. If a team is +4.5 and loses by 3, that's a win ATS. 8-29 ATS means teams in that spot covered the spread 8 times and failed 29 times.
- Trends and their labels
- A trend is how teams in the same spot did ATS, against the closing spread (e.g. 'off an overtime win on a short week: 4-19 ATS'). The app checks the same fixed list of spots for every game and labels each: 'Worth noting' is unlikely to be luck even after counting how many spots were checked; 'Leans' could be luck; 'Probably noise' is close enough to 50/50 to ignore. TV trends skip this step.
- Closing line value (CLV)
- Did you get a better number than where the line ended up at kickoff? Bettors who beat the closing line over time tend to win; it's the honest scorecard on My Bets.
What to do
1 bet to take now. Every other game is a pass, and that's normal: sharps only bet a few games a week. Track record
Sunday, Nov 8
Iona65@St. John's104
Spread St. John's -29 → -27 moved 2 toward IonaTotal 151.5 → 150.5 down 169% of bets on St. John's
SE Missouri St68@South Carolina78
Spread South Carolina -17.5 → -17 moved 0.5 toward SE Missouri StTotal 145 → 145 no move86% of bets on South Carolina
Fairfield68@Bryant59
Spread Fairfield -1.5 → -1.5 no moveTotal 145 → 146.5 up 1.575% of bets on Fairfield
Arkansas72@Virginia91
Spread Virginia -2 → -4.5 moved 2.5 toward VirginiaTotal 162 → 162 no move67% of bets on Arkansas
Marist61@UMass Lowell63
Spread UMass Lowell -1 → -2 moved 1 toward UMass LowellTotal 146.5 → 142 down 4.5
Manhattan68@Maine62
Spread Maine -3 → -2 moved 1 toward ManhattanTotal 140 → 136 down 4
Princeton68@Siena82
Spread Princeton +1 → -1.5 moved 2.5 toward PrincetonTotal 154.5 → 154.5 no move82% of bets on Princeton
Sacred Heart81@New Hampshire76
Spread New Hampshire -2.5 → -1 moved 1.5 toward Sacred HeartTotal 147.5 → 146 down 1.5
Campbell71@Western Michigan87
Spread Western Michigan -6 → -3.5 moved 2.5 toward CampbellTotal 148.5 → 152 up 3.572% of bets on Western Michigan
Butler81@Boise State100
Spread Boise State -1.5 → -2.5 moved 1 toward Boise StateTotal 157 → 158 up 1
Green Bay76@St. Thomas (MN)67
Spread St. Thomas (MN) -8.5 → -7.5 moved 1 toward Green BayTotal 149 → 150 up 177% of bets on St. Thomas (MN)
Brown65@Lehigh55
Spread Lehigh -5 → -5 no moveTotal 140 → 138 down 288% of bets on Lehigh
Merrimack73@Albany60
Spread Merrimack -2 → -2 no moveTotal 134 → 135 up 1
Central Connecticut St78@Dartmouth71
Spread Dartmouth -5.5 → -8.5 moved 3 toward DartmouthTotal 141.5 → 139.5 down 2
Quinnipiac79@Vermont76
Spread Vermont -7.5 → -8.5 moved 1 toward VermontTotal 140.5 → 139.5 down 162% of bets on Vermont
Western Kentucky94@Tennessee Tech97
Spread Western Kentucky -3 → -3 no moveTotal 162 → 164 up 260% of bets on Western Kentucky
Southern68@Drake75
Spread Drake -12.5 → -14 moved 1.5 toward DrakeTotal 150 → 151 up 173% of bets on Drake
Idaho State82@Air Force89
Spread Air Force -6 → -6 no moveTotal 160.5 → 162 up 1.5
Rider63@Binghamton75
Spread Binghamton -7.5 → -6 moved 1.5 toward RiderTotal 139 → 137 down 2
Saint Peter's52@NJIT54
Spread Saint Peter's -1.5 → -2 moved 0.5 toward Saint Peter'sTotal 131.5 → 133.5 up 290% of bets on Saint Peter's
Saint Mary's95@Nevada96
Spread Nevada -1.5 → -1 moved 0.5 toward Saint Mary'sTotal 146 → 146 no move
Richmond79@Temple53
Spread Richmond -2 → -1.5 moved 0.5 toward TempleTotal 152.5 → 151 down 1.5
Norfolk St73@William & Mary104
Spread William & Mary -9.5 → -11 moved 1.5 toward William & MaryTotal 156.5 → 157.5 up 1
North Dakota St80@CSU Bakersfield91
Spread North Dakota St -2.5 → -2.5 no moveTotal 157 → 152.5 down 4.564% of bets on North Dakota St
Incarnate Word60@UTEP79
Spread UTEP -12 → -13.5 moved 1.5 toward UTEPTotal 143.5 → 142.5 down 178% of bets on UTEP
Pittsburgh82@Penn State76
Spread Pittsburgh -2.5 → -2.5 no moveTotal 155.5 → 153 down 2.579% of bets on Pittsburgh
Houston86@California68
Spread Houston -18 → -20 moved 2 toward HoustonTotal 145 → 143 down 264% of bets on Houston
UT-Arlington43@Hawai'i40
Spread Hawai'i -10.5 → -8 moved 2.5 toward UT-ArlingtonTotal 150.5 → 146 down 4.567% of bets on Hawai'i
Wichita St30@USC27
Spread USC +6 → -6.5 moved 12.5 toward USCTotal 156.5 → 155 down 1.574% of bets on USC
Monday, Nov 9
Marshall@Ohio StateMon 6:00 PM
At DraftKings, Ohio State have 74% of the money on only 47% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.
Spread Ohio State -26 → -26 no moveTotal 162.5 → 162.5 no move
Howard@PennsylvaniaMon 6:30 PM
Spread Pennsylvania -5.5 → -5.5 no moveTotal 156.5 → 157.5 up 1
Syracuse@IndianaMon 6:30 PM
Spread Indiana -4 → -4.5 moved 0.5 toward IndianaTotal 148.5 → 148.5 no move
Cleveland St@Bowling GreenMon 7:00 PM
Spread Bowling Green -13 → -13 no moveTotal 157.5 → 157.5 no move
UNC Greensboro@UICMon 7:00 PM
BetMGM has UNC Greensboro +20.5 (-110), worth about +2.5% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.
Spread UIC -20 → -20 no moveTotal 150 → 150 no move
Minnesota@CincinnatiMon 7:00 PM
Spread Cincinnati -7.5 → -7 moved 0.5 toward MinnesotaTotal 143.5 → 143.5 no move
Eastern Illinois@Notre DameMon 7:00 PM
Spread Notre Dame -28 → -28 no moveTotal 142 → 142 no move
Florida Gulf Coast@GeorgiaMon 7:00 PM
Spread Georgia -21.5 → -22.5 moved 1 toward GeorgiaTotal 157.5 → 159.5 up 2
Radford@TennesseeMon 7:00 PM
Spread Tennessee -27.5 → -28.5 moved 1 toward TennesseeTotal 152.5 → 153.5 up 1
Grambling St@TexasMon 7:00 PM
Spread Texas -33.5 → -35.5 moved 2 toward TexasTotal 150.5 → 151.5 up 1
South Carolina St@Chicago StMon 7:00 PM
Spread Chicago St -5.5 → -4.5 moved 1 toward South Carolina StTotal 150.5 → 150.5 no move
LIU@TowsonMon 7:00 PM
Spread Towson -5.5 → -5.5 no moveTotal 141.5 → 141.5 no move
North Dakota@ClemsonMon 7:00 PM
Spread Clemson -21 → -21 no moveTotal 153.5 → 153.5 no move
Stonehill@ColumbiaMon 7:00 PM
Spread Columbia -10.5 → -10.5 no moveTotal 147.5 → 147.5 no move
Wagner@UConnMon 7:00 PM
Spread UConn -36.5 → -37.5 moved 1 toward UConnTotal 142.5 → 141.5 down 1
North Florida@MiamiMon 7:00 PM
The spread moved 3 points toward Miami since it opened.
Spread Miami -30.5 → -33.5 moved 3 toward MiamiTotal 159.5 → 162.5 up 3
UMKC@JacksonvilleMon 7:00 PM
Spread Jacksonville -4.5 → -5.5 moved 1 toward JacksonvilleTotal 146.5 → 146.5 no move
South Carolina Upstate@Coastal CarolinaMon 7:00 PM
Spread Coastal Carolina -9.5 → -9.5 no moveTotal 150.5 → 150.5 no move
Oakland@AlabamaMon 7:30 PM
theScore Bet has Oakland +33.5 (-110), worth about +1.2% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.
Spread Alabama -33 → -33 no moveTotal 171.5 → 171.5 no move
Florida A&M@UABMon 7:30 PM
Spread UAB -15.5 → -15.5 no moveTotal 154.5 → 154.5 no move
Jackson St@Mississippi StMon 7:30 PM
Spread Mississippi St -21.5 → -21.5 no moveTotal 155.5 → 156.5 up 1
Louisiana Tech@LSUMon 8:00 PM
At DraftKings, Louisiana Tech have 97% of the money on only 33% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.
Spread LSU -28.5 → -31 moved 2.5 toward LSUTotal 152 → 152 no move67% of bets on LSU
UL Monroe@Texas A&MMon 8:00 PM
Spread Texas A&M -37 → -37 no moveTotal 168.5 → 168.5 no move
SIU-Edwardsville@MissouriMon 8:00 PM
Spread Missouri -28.5 → -29.5 moved 1 toward MissouriTotal 149 → 149 no move
Boston Univ.@NorthwesternMon 8:00 PM
Spread Northwestern -17.5 → -16.5 moved 1 toward Boston Univ.Total 147.5 → 147.5 no move
North Alabama@OklahomaMon 8:00 PM
Pinnacle and 2 other books jumped the spread toward Oklahoma within an hour. The sharp book moving with the others that fast usually means big money hit at once.
Spread Oklahoma -26.5 → -28 moved 1.5 toward OklahomaTotal 147.5 → 147.5 no move
Illinois St@PurdueMon 8:30 PM
Spread Purdue -16 → -16 no moveTotal 144.5 → 144.5 no move75% of bets on Illinois St
Appalachian St@AuburnMon 9:00 PM
theScore Bet has Appalachian St +24.5 (-110), worth about +2.9% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.
Spread Auburn -23.5 → -23.5 no moveTotal 146 → 146 no move
Charlotte@Seton HallMon 9:00 PM
Pinnacle and 6 other books jumped the total toward the under within an hour. The sharp book moving with the others that fast usually means big money hit at once.
Spread Seton Hall -5 → -5 no moveTotal 134.5 → 131.5 down 3
Alabama A&M@DePaulMon 9:00 PM
Spread DePaul -23.5 → -23.5 no moveTotal 142.5 → 141.5 down 1
Eastern Washington@Oregon StMon 9:30 PM
At DraftKings, Eastern Washington have 97% of the money on only 67% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.
Spread Oregon St -16.5 → -16.5 no moveTotal 160.5 → 160.5 no move67% of bets on Eastern Washington
Rice@StanfordMon 10:00 PM
Spread Stanford -17 → -17 no moveTotal 146 → 146 no move
Miss Valley St@WashingtonMon 10:00 PM
Spread Washington -33.5Total 151.5