Butler BulldogsatBoise State Broncos
- Boise State won (they closed at -149 on the moneyline).
- Against the closing spread, Boise State covered -2.5.
- 181 total points against a closing total of 158: the over hit.
Mixed signals: Circa money favor Butler; the line moving 1 point their way favor Boise State. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read before the start
- Pinnacle had Boise State -1.5 on Sat, Nov 7. It's now -2.5, 1 point toward Boise State.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 59% of spread bets and 68% of the money are on Boise State.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 50% of bets but 96% of the money is on Butler: fewer, bigger bets.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- The total went 157 → 158 (toward the over).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 7 moves
First seen at your books: Boise State -2.5 / Boise State -1.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Boise State -1.5 (-105)
Circa first seen: Boise State -1 (-110)
Show 4 earlier moves
Circa Boise State -1 → Boise State -2, toward Boise State
Your books right then: best Boise State -1 (-110) at Caesars, still up for 1 min (until Sat, 11/7, 10:33 PM).
Pinnacle Boise State -1.5 → Boise State -2, toward Boise State
Your books right then: best Boise State -1.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up for 3h 40m (until Sun, 11/8, 2:23 AM).
Pinnacle Boise State -2 → Boise State -2.5, toward Boise State
Your books right then: best Boise State -1.5 (-120) at FanDuel, still up for 14 min (until Sun, 11/8, 2:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 83% on Boise State.
Circa Boise State -2 → Boise State -3, toward Boise State
Your books right then: best Boise State -2.5 (-109) at Bally Bet, still up for 5h 7m (until Sun, 11/8, 1:47 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 60% on Boise State.
Circa Boise State -3 → Boise State -2.5, toward Butler
Your books right then: best Butler +2.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, still up for 9 min (until Sun, 11/8, 10:03 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 63% on Boise State, so this move went against the public.
Circa Boise State -2.5 → Boise State -3, toward Boise State
Your books right then: best Boise State -2.5 (-109) at Bally Bet, still up for 2h 47m (until Sun, 11/8, 1:47 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 52% on Boise State.
Circa Boise State -3 → Boise State -2.5, toward Butler
Your books right then: best Butler +2.5 (-110) at FanDuel, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 59% on Boise State.
Pinnacle Boise State -2.5 (-111) · Circa Boise State -2.5 (-110)
Best Boise State at your books: Boise State -2.5 (-108) at Bally Bet
Best Butler at your books: Butler +2.5 (-110) at FanDuel
- Best Boise State all week: Boise State -1 (-110) at Caesars, Sat, 11/7, 8:20 PM to Sat, 11/7, 10:33 PM
- Best Butler all week: Butler +3.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 7:43 AM to Sun, 11/8, 8:33 AM
Total · 3 moves
First seen at your books: 154.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 157 (-108)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 154.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: 157 (-110)
Pinnacle 157 → 158, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 157.5 (-105) at BetMGM, still up for 20 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 57% on the Under.
Circa 157 → 158.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 157.5 (-105) at BetMGM, still up for 1 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 57% on the Under.
Circa 158.5 → 159.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 158.5 (-109) at Bally Bet, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 57% on the Under.
Pinnacle 158 (-121) · Circa 159.5 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 158.5 (-109) at Bally Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 158.5 (-105) at FanDuel
- Best Over all week: Over 153.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, Sat, 11/7, 3:23 PM to Sat, 11/7, 4:04 PM
- Best Under all week: Under 159.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 9:13 AM to Sun, 11/8, 1:59 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Butler | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +2.5-105 | -2.5-111 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 · not the opener | +1.5-113 | -1.5-105 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | +2.5-110since Sun 1:50 PM | -2.5-110since Sun 1:50 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | +2.5-110opened +1.5 -115 | -2.5-110opened -1.5 -105 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened +2.5 -102 | opened -2.5 -120 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened +2.5 -105 | opened -2.5 -115 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened here | opened here |
| BetRiversYour book | opened +2.5 -112 | opened -2.5 -112 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened +1.5 -115 | opened -1.5 -105 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened +2.5 -110 | opened -2.5 -110 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 1:49 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 12:59 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 1:50 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.