SharpstieriIdaho State BengalsatAir Force Falcons
- Air Force won (they closed at -250 on the moneyline).
- Against the closing spread, Air Force covered -6.
- 171 total points against a closing total of 162: the over hit.
Sharp signals point to Air Force: Circa money. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read before the start
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Air Force -6 since we started tracking it (Sat, Nov 7).
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 57% of spread bets and 95% of the money are on Air Force.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 33% of bets but 95% of the money is on Air Force: fewer, bigger bets.
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 9:29 AM ET, Pinnacle and 2 other books moved the total the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- The total went 160.5 → 162 (toward the over).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 2 moves
First seen at your books: Air Force -6.5 / Air Force -5.5 (Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Air Force -6 (-107)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Air Force -5.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: Air Force -6 (-110)
Pinnacle Air Force -6 → Air Force -6.5, toward Air Force
Your books right then: best Air Force -5.5 (-117) at Bally Bet, still up for 10 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:23 AM).
DraftKings bets then: 60% on Idaho State, so this move went against the public.
Pinnacle Air Force -6.5 → Air Force -6, toward Idaho State
Your books right then: best Idaho State +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 57% on Idaho State.
Pinnacle Air Force -6 (-106) · Circa Air Force -6 (-110)
Best Air Force at your books: Air Force -5.5 (-114) at Bally Bet
Best Idaho State at your books: Idaho State +6.5 (-115) at FanDuel
- Best Air Force all week: Air Force -5.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 1:56 PM (still up)
- Best Idaho State all week: Idaho State +6.5 (-110 to -115) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 9:03 AM (still up)
Total · 3 moves
First seen at your books: 157.5 / 156.5 (Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 160.5 (-105)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 156.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: 160 (-110)
Circa 160 → 160.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 160.5 (-106) at Bally Bet, still up for 43 min (until Sun, 11/8, 9:23 AM).
Pinnacle 160.5 → 162, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 161.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, still up for 34 min (until Sun, 11/8, 10:03 AM).
Circa 160.5 → 161.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 161.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, still up for 9 min (until Sun, 11/8, 10:03 AM).
Pinnacle 162 (-101) · Circa 161.5 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 160.5 (-113) at Bally Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 161.5 (-110) at theScore Bet
- Best Over all week: Over 156.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sat, 11/7, 3:20 PM to Sat, 11/7, 3:32 PM
- Best Under all week: Under 162.5 (-110 to -112) at Bally Bet, Sun, 11/8, 11:29 AM to Sun, 11/8, 1:59 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Idaho State | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +6-110 | -6-106 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 · not the opener | +6-111 | -6-107 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | +6-110since Sat 10:12 PM | -6-110since Sat 10:12 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | +5.5-102opened +6.5 -118 | -5.5-118opened -6.5 -102 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened +5.5 -110 | opened -5.5 -110 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened +6.5 -120 | opened -6.5 +100 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened +6.5 -118 | opened -6.5 -102 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened +5.5 -105 | opened -5.5 -118 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened +5.5 +100 | opened -5.5 -120 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened +5.5 -104 | opened -5.5 -117 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 2:59 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 12:59 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 2:50 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.