SharpstieriPittsburgh PanthersatPenn State Nittany Lions
- Pittsburgh won (they closed at -146 on the moneyline).
- Against the closing spread, Pittsburgh covered -2.5.
- 158 total points against a closing total of 153: the over hit.
Sharp signals point to Pittsburgh: Circa money. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read before the start
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Pittsburgh -2.5 since we started tracking it (Sat, Nov 7).
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 79% of spread bets and 94% of the money are on Pittsburgh.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 71% of bets but 91% of the money is on Pittsburgh: fewer, bigger bets.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- The total went 155.5 → 153 (toward the under).
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 0 moves
First seen at your books: Penn State +2.5 / Penn State +1.5 / Penn State +3.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Penn State +2.5 (-114)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Penn State +3.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: Penn State +2.5 (-110)
Pinnacle Penn State +2.5 (-106) · Circa Penn State +2.5 (-110)
Best Penn State at your books: Penn State +2.5 (-110) at FanDuel
Best Pittsburgh at your books: Pittsburgh -2.5 (-106) at Bally Bet
- Best Penn State all week: Penn State +3.5 (-110) at theScore Bet, Sat, 11/7, 3:26 PM to Sat, 11/7, 3:53 PM
- Best Pittsburgh all week: Pittsburgh -1.5 (-110 to -115) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 12:29 AM to Sun, 11/8, 9:09 AM
Total · 4 moves
First seen at your books: 153.5 / 154.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 155.5 (-106)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 154.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: 155 (-110)
Show 1 earlier move
Circa 155 → 153, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 154.5 (-114) at Bally Bet, still up for 3h 19m (until Sun, 11/8, 2:11 PM).
Pinnacle 155.5 → 154.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 154.5 (-114) at Bally Bet, still up for 3h 9m (until Sun, 11/8, 2:11 PM).
Pinnacle 154.5 → 153.5, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 154.5 (-114) at Bally Bet, still up for 1h 28m (until Sun, 11/8, 2:11 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 80% on the Under.
Pinnacle 153.5 → 153, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 153.5 (-105) at FanDuel, still up for 2h 58m (until Sun, 11/8, 5:11 PM).
DraftKings bets then: 71% on the Under.
Pinnacle 153 (-113) · Circa 153 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 152.5 (-115) at theScore Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 153.5 (-109) at Bally Bet
- Best Over all week: Over 152.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 7:59 PM (still up)
- Best Under all week: Under 155.5 (-110) at Caesars, Sat, 11/7, 8:17 PM to Sat, 11/7, 8:41 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Pittsburgh | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -2.5-110 | +2.5-106 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sat, 11/7 · not the opener | -2.5-104 | +2.5-114 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -2.5-110since Sat 10:12 PM | +2.5-110since Sat 10:12 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -2.5-110opened -2.5 -105 | +2.5-110opened +2.5 -115 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -2.5 -102 | opened +2.5 -120 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -2.5 -105 | opened +2.5 -115 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -1.5 -115 | opened +1.5 -105 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened -1.5 -122 | opened +1.5 +100 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -3.5 -110 | opened +3.5 -110 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened -1.5 -121 | opened +1.5 +100 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 7:59 PM
Circa where pros bet · updated Sun, Nov 8, 7:30 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 7:50 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.