SharpstieriNebraska CornhuskersatRutgers Scarlet Knights
Sharps are on Rutgers, but no price at your books is worth it. Skip it.
Now: Rutgers +13.5 (-103) at Caesars (value −1.5%) · Pinnacle +13.5 (-108)
Only before the sharp move: theScore Bet had Rutgers +14.5 (-110) (Sun 12:38 PM ET), but not since Pinnacle moved to +13.5 (Sun 4:30 PM ET); the best since was Rutgers +13.5 (+100) at FanDuel (0.0%). It may not come back.
Close to fair For fun only: Rutgers +13.5 (+100) at FanDuel is 0.0% vs Pinnacle's fair price, roughly break-even. Not an edge; keep it small (no more than $25 to win).
- Big money at Circa: 99% of the money on 67% of the bets (Circa is where pros bet).
- Better than fair, but not by enough: FanDuel's Rutgers +13.5 (+100) is worth about 0.0% vs Pinnacle's fair price (Pinnacle: +13.5). A call needs +1% on a side: "fair" is itself an estimate (Pinnacle's cut has to be taken out, and that's never exact), so an edge under 1% can't be told apart from none.
What it would take: It would take Rutgers +13.5 at +102 or better or Rutgers +14.5 at -110, or the moneyline at +508 or better, and that hasn't been offered since the sharp move. This isn't a forecast; lines rarely move back against sharp money. Alerts will tell you if it ever shows up.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Sharp signals point to Rutgers: Circa money. Exchanges lean further toward Rutgers than Pinnacle does. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Nebraska -13.5 since we started tracking it (Sun, Nov 8).
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 67% of bets but 99% of the money is on Rutgers: fewer, bigger bets.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $18K traded on Kalshi), Rutgers are +368 to +441 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +409 and your best is +450. Exchanges give Rutgers a 19.3% chance vs Pinnacle's 16.6%.
- The total hasn't moved from 53.
Deep dive in Claude
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Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 0 moves
First seen at your books: Rutgers +13.5 (FanDuel)
Circa first seen: Rutgers +13 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: Rutgers +13.5 (-108)
Pinnacle Rutgers +13.5 (-108) · Circa Rutgers +13 (-110)
Best Rutgers at your books: Rutgers +13.5 (+100) at FanDuel
Best Nebraska at your books: Nebraska -13.5 (-110) at BetMGM
- Best Rutgers all week: Rutgers +14.5 (-115) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 4:23 PM to Sun, 11/8, 4:30 PM
- Best Nebraska all week: Nebraska -13.5 (-113) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 4:36 PM (still up)
Total · 0 moves
First seen at your books: 53.5 (FanDuel)
Circa first seen: 53 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: 53 (-110)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 53.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Pinnacle 53 (-110) · Circa 53 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 52.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Best Under at your books: Under 53.5 (-110) at theScore Bet
- Best Over all week: Over 52.5 (-114) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 4:36 PM (still up)
- Best Under all week: Under 54.5 (-110) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 10:56 AM to Sun, 11/8, 12:38 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Nebraska | Rutgers |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -13.5-108 | +13.5-108 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 · not the opener | -13.5-108 | +13.5-108 |
| ExchangesReference only · $3K traded on Kalshi | -13.5-115Kalshi -13.5 -112 · Novig -13.5 -115 · SX Bet -13.5 -120 · Polymarket -13.5 -114 · ProphetX -13.5 -115 | +13.5-114Kalshi +13.5 -112 · Novig +13.5 -102 · SX Bet +13.5 -127 · Polymarket +13.5 -114 · ProphetX +13.5 -120 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -13-110since Sun 3:18 PM | +13-110since Sun 3:18 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -13.5-115opened -12.5 -115 | +13.5-105opened +12.5 -105 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened -13.5 -106 | check the app · unchanged 12 h |
| CaesarsYour book | opened here | opened here |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -14 -108 | opened +14 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened here | opened here |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -13.5 -105 | opened +13.5 -115 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened here | opened here |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
Circa where pros bet · updated Mon, Nov 9, 12:20 AM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
- Probably noiseRutgers have lost 3+ straight. Teams in this spot are 413-402-11 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 231-241-7. Overs went 436-370-10 (leans).
- Probably noiseNebraska have lost 3+ straight. Teams in this spot are 413-402-11 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 231-241-7. Overs went 436-370-10 (leans).
7 more situations apply, all probably noise
- Probably noiseRutgers are an underdog in a conference game. Teams in this spot are 1291-1229-43 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 740-718-27.
- Probably noiseRutgers are a double-digit underdog. Teams in this spot are 1038-1034-27 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 589-615-12.
- Probably noiseNebraska are a double-digit favorite. Teams in this spot are 1034-1038-27 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 615-589-12.
- Probably noiseRutgers are off a loss by 17+. Teams in this spot are 727-717-21 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 432-428-12.
- Probably noiseRutgers are a home underdog. Teams in this spot are 639-605-25 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 375-348-13.
- Probably noiseNebraska are a road favorite. Teams in this spot are 605-639-25 ATS (49% cover); since 2024: 348-375-13.
- Probably noiseNebraska are on their second straight road game. Teams in this spot are 457-459-14 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 254-270-7.
ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 2022. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.
This week's referee isn't posted yet (college crews aren't published).
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
SHI Stadium
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.