Sharpstieri

College football

67 games in the next 8 days · 16 with something worth a look

NFLCollege footballMLBNBACollege hoopsNHLOnly games with signals
What the tags mean
Take it now
The sharp signals point to a team AND one of your books still has a better number than Pinnacle. Bet it at that book before it catches up.
Sharp side: wait
Sharps are on a team, and one of your books has offered a good enough price since the sharp move, so it can realistically come around again. The box names the price; bet only if a book offers it.
Sharp side: no bet
The sharps are on a team (or the over/under), but no price at your books is worth betting, and none good enough has been offered since the sharp move. The box shows what price it would take, but that's not a prediction: lines rarely move back against sharp money. Skip it unless an alert says otherwise.
Too late
The sharp move already happened, kickoff is close, and no book has an old number left. Don't chase it.
Pass
No clear sharp side (a better number alone isn't enough). Most games are a pass; skipping them is part of betting like a sharp.
Unit
Your standard bet: 1–2% of the money you've set aside for betting. Bet the same size every time and never raise it to win back losses.
Reverse line move
Most people bet one side, but the line moves toward the other side. Books normally move toward where the money is, so moving against the crowd usually means a smaller number of respected, bigger bettors are on the other side. It's the best-known sharp signal.
Big money
One side has a much bigger share of the money than of the bets. Example: 30% of bets but 70% of the money means a few large bets. At Circa, where professionals bet, this matters most.
Steam move
Pinnacle and at least two other books move the line the same way within about an hour. That usually happens when a lot of money hits at once, often from sharp bettors. Your books moving together without Pinnacle doesn't count; that's usually a routine reset.
Key number
In football, many games end with a 3- or 7-point margin. A spread moving across 3 or 7 (say -2.5 to -3.5) changes more games' results than an ordinary half point.
Better price at your book
FanDuel, Caesars or BetMGM is offering something worth at least 1% more than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice. A better number with heavy juice (say +3 at -117 vs Pinnacle's +2.5 at +101) can still be the worse bet, so the app scores both together.
Value %
How much better (+) or worse (−) a price is than Pinnacle's fair price, per dollar bet, after the juice. +2% means about 2 cents better per dollar than a fair bet. Half points are valued from how often games land on each margin (3 and 7 matter most).
Big move / total moved
The line or total has moved a lot since it opened. Something changed: injuries, weather, or money.
Pinnacle
The sportsbook professional bettors trust most. It takes big bets and moves its line fast, so its number is treated as the "sharp" price. You can't bet there; it's the yardstick.
DraftKings vs Circa splits
DraftKings shows what everyday bettors are doing (the public). Circa, a Las Vegas book, takes big bets from pros. When the two disagree, Circa usually tells you where the smart money is. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits.
Exchanges (Kalshi, Novig, Matchbook, SX Bet, Polymarket)
Markets where bettors trade with each other and the site takes a small fee instead of building a margin into the odds. Their prices sit close to the true market, and Kalshi shows how much money has traded. Shown for research only; your best price is still from FanDuel, Caesars and BetMGM.
ATS (against the spread)
A team's record once the spread is counted. If a team is +4.5 and loses by 3, that's a win ATS. 8-29 ATS means teams in that spot covered the spread 8 times and failed 29 times.
Trends and their labels
A trend is how teams in the same spot did ATS, against the closing spread (e.g. 'off an overtime win on a short week: 4-19 ATS'). The app checks the same fixed list of spots for every game and labels each: 'Worth noting' is unlikely to be luck even after counting how many spots were checked; 'Leans' could be luck; 'Probably noise' is close enough to 50/50 to ignore. TV trends skip this step.
Closing line value (CLV)
Did you get a better number than where the line ended up at kickoff? Bettors who beat the closing line over time tend to win; it's the honest scorecard on My Bets.

Moving now

Where Pinnacle, the sharp book, moved in the last 6 hours. Sharp money moves the line before splits show it. All alerts

What to do

1 bet to take now · 3 sharp sides to wait on. Every other game is a pass, and that's normal: sharps only bet a few games a week. Track record

Tuesday, Nov 10
Wednesday, Nov 11
Thursday, Nov 12
Friday, Nov 13
Saturday, Nov 14
Wake Forest@SMUSat 12:00 PM
PassBig money on Wake Forest

At DraftKings, Wake Forest have 80% of the money on only 50% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.

Spread Wake Forest -1.5 → -1.5 no moveTotal 61 → 61 no move
Duke@MiamiSat 12:00 PM
Pass
Spread Miami -13.5 → -13.5 no moveTotal 54 → 54 no move75% of bets on Duke
Auburn@Mississippi StateSat 12:00 PM
Pass
Spread Auburn -3 → -3 no moveTotal 50 → 50 no move
Northwestern@Ohio StateSat 12:00 PM
Pass
Spread Ohio State -11 → -11 no moveTotal 47.5 → 47.5 no move
Wisconsin@MarylandSat 12:00 PM
PassBetter price at your book

Bally Bet has Wisconsin -7.5 (-108), worth about +1.2% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.

Spread Wisconsin -8 → -8 no moveTotal 43 → 43 no move
Syracuse@NC StateSat 12:00 PM
PassNot offered in NY
Spread Syracuse -3 → -3 no moveTotal 55 → 54 down 1
James Madison@UConnSat 12:00 PM
Pass
Spread James Madison -3.5 → -3.5 no moveTotal 57.5 → 57.5 no move
Nebraska@RutgersSat 12:30 PM
Pass
Spread Nebraska -13.5 → -13.5 no moveTotal 53 → 53 no move
Georgia Tech@ClemsonSat 12:30 PM
Pass
Spread Clemson -13.5 → -13.5 no moveTotal 48 → 48 no move
Alabama@VanderbiltSat 12:45 PM
Pass
Spread Alabama -19 → -19 no moveTotal 52.5 → 52.5 no move
East Carolina@CharlotteSat 1:00 PM
Pass
Spread East Carolina -11.5 → -11.5 no moveTotal 45 → 45 no move
Arkansas State@Coastal CarolinaSat 1:00 PM
Pass
Spread Coastal Carolina -1.5 → -1.5 no moveTotal 51 → 51 no move
UAB@TempleSat 1:00 PM
Pass
Spread Temple -2.5 → -2.5 no moveTotal 49 → 49 no move
Kennesaw State@Sam Houston StateSat 2:00 PM
Pass
Spread Kennesaw State -8 → -8 no moveTotal 47 → 47 no move
Tulane@RiceSat 2:00 PM
PassMoved onto 3

The spread moved onto 3. Many football games end with a 3-point margin, so a move across 3 matters more than an ordinary half point.

Spread Rice -2.5 → -3 moved 0.5 toward RiceTotal 48.5 → 48.5 no move
New Mexico State@Missouri StateSat 3:00 PM
Pass
Spread Missouri State -1.5 → -1.5 no moveTotal 49 → 49 no move
Florida International@DelawareSat 3:00 PM
Pass
Spread Delaware -5 → -5 no moveTotal 53.5 → 54.5 up 1
Ole Miss@OklahomaSat 4:15 PM
PassBig money on Oklahoma

At DraftKings, Oklahoma have 96% of the money on only 67% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.

Spread Ole Miss -2 → -2 no moveTotal 49.5 → 49.5 no move67% of bets on Oklahoma
Tennessee@Texas A&MSat 3:00 PM
Pass
Spread Tennessee -2.5 → -2.5 no moveTotal 42.5 → 42.5 no move
Jacksonville State@Western KentuckySat 3:30 PM
PassMoved onto 7

The spread moved onto 7. Many football games end with a 7-point margin, so a move across 7 matters more than an ordinary half point.

Spread Jacksonville State -7 → -7.5 moved 0.5 toward Jacksonville StateTotal 53.5 → 53.5 no move67% of bets on Jacksonville State
Michigan@OregonSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread Oregon -11.5 → -10.5 moved 1 toward MichiganTotal 40 → 40 no move67% of bets on Michigan
Middle Tennessee@LibertySat 3:30 PM
PassBetter price at your book

FanDuel has Liberty -21.5 (+100), worth about +1.4% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.

Spread Liberty -21.5 → -21.5 no moveTotal 53.5 → 53.5 no move
Nevada@Northern IllinoisSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread Nevada -7.5 → -7.5 no moveTotal 46.5 → 46.5 no move
Missouri@GeorgiaSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread Georgia -14.5 → -14.5 no moveTotal 47 → 47 no move
Texas@LSUSat 7:30 PM
Pass
Spread LSU -4.5 → -4.5 no moveTotal 46 → 46 no move86% of bets on Texas
Boston College@Notre DameSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread Notre Dame -30 → -30 no moveTotal 53.5 → 53.5 no move60% of bets on Boston College
California@VirginiaSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread Virginia -13 → -13 no moveTotal 47.5 → 47.5 no move
Arizona State@UCFSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread UCF -3 → -3 no moveTotal 49 → 49 no move
Cincinnati@Iowa StateSat 12:00 PM
Early: waitMoved onto 3Better price at your book

The spread moved onto 3. Many football games end with a 3-point margin, so a move across 3 matters more than an ordinary half point.

Spread Iowa State -1.5 → -3 moved 1.5 toward Iowa StateTotal 60.5 → 60.5 no move
Kansas@West VirginiaSat 5:30 PM
Pass
Spread West Virginia -3 → -3 no moveTotal 65.5 → 66.5 up 1
Kansas State@TCUSat 2:00 PM
Pass
Spread TCU -9 → -9 no moveTotal 46 → 46 no move
USC@IndianaSat 3:30 PM
PassBig money on USC

At DraftKings, USC have 75% of the money on only 42% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.

Spread Indiana -7.5 → -7.5 no moveTotal 49.5 → 49.5 no move
Florida Atlantic@TulsaSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread Tulsa -5.5 → -6 no moveTotal 73 → 74 up 1
Georgia Southern@Georgia StateSat 3:30 PM
Pass
Spread Georgia Southern -5.5 → -5.5 no moveTotal 56.5 → 56.5 no move
Baylor@BYUSat 3:30 PM
PassBetter price at your book

Bally Bet has BYU -6.5 (-127), worth about +1.6% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.

Spread BYU -8 → -8 no moveTotal 48.5 → 48.5 no move
Fresno State@Texas StateSat 4:00 PM
Pass
Spread Texas State -9 → -9 no moveTotal 60.5 → 60.5 no move
Washington@Michigan StateSat 4:15 PM
Pass
Spread Washington -3.5 → -5 moved 1.5 toward WashingtonTotal 43 → 43 no move
Southern Mississippi@Louisiana TechSat 5:00 PM
Pass
Spread Louisiana Tech -17.5 → -17.5 no moveTotal 55 → 55 no move
Oregon State@Boise StateSat 6:00 PM
PassBetter price at your book

theScore Bet has Boise State -10.5 (+100), worth about +3.5% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.

Spread Boise State -10.5 → -10.5 no moveTotal 66.5 → 66.5 no move67% of bets on Boise State
Appalachian State@MarshallSat 6:00 PM
Pass
Spread Appalachian State -2 → -2 no moveTotal 53 → 53 no move
Florida@KentuckySat 6:15 PM
Early: wait
Spread Kentucky -3 → -3 no moveTotal 52 → 52 no move
San Jose State@Air ForceSat 7:00 PM
Pass
Spread Air Force -11.5 → -11.5 no moveTotal 47.5 → 47.5 no move
Stanford@Virginia TechSat 7:30 PM
Pass
Spread Virginia Tech -14.5 → -14.5 no moveTotal 59 → 59 no move
Louisville@North CarolinaSat 7:00 PM
Pass
Spread Louisville -3 → -3 no moveTotal 60 → 60 no move
Purdue@IowaSat 7:30 PM
Pass
Spread Iowa -17 → -17 no moveTotal 47 → 47 no move
Minnesota@Penn StateSat 7:00 PM
Pass
Spread Penn State -9 → -9 no moveTotal 43 → 43 no move80% of bets on Minnesota
Troy@South AlabamaSat 7:00 PM
Pass
Spread South Alabama -2.5 → -2.5 no moveTotal 56 → 56 no move
UNLV@New MexicoSat 7:30 PM
Pass
Spread New Mexico -14 → -14.5 moved 0.5 toward New MexicoTotal 46.5 → 46.5 no move
Utah@ArizonaSat 7:30 PM
Pass
Spread Utah -2.5 → -2.5 no moveTotal 54 → 54 no move75% of bets on Utah
Texas Tech@Oklahoma StateSat 9:30 PM
Early: waitBig money on Oklahoma State

At DraftKings, Oklahoma State have 97% of the money on only 50% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.

Spread Oklahoma State -3.5 → -3.5 no moveTotal 72.5 → 72.5 no move
South Carolina@ArkansasSat 7:45 PM
PassBetter price at your book

theScore Bet has South Carolina -7.5 (+100), worth about +1.4% vs Pinnacle's fair price after the juice. Your book hasn't caught up yet.

Spread South Carolina -7.5 → -7.5 no moveTotal 51.5 → 51.5 no move
North Texas@UTSASat 9:00 PM
Pass
Spread UTSA -1 → -1 no moveTotal 76.5 → 76.5 no move
Utah State@San Diego StateSat 9:30 PM
PassBig move

The spread moved 3 points toward San Diego State since it opened.

Spread San Diego State +2 → -1 moved 3 toward San Diego StateTotal 41 → 41 no move
Wyoming@UTEPSat 10:00 PM
Pass
Spread Wyoming -9 → -9 no moveTotal 40.5 → 40.5 no move
Colorado State@Washington StateSat 10:30 PM
Pass
Spread Washington State -8.5 → -10 moved 1.5 toward Washington StateTotal 67 → 67 no move
North Dakota State@HawaiiSat 11:00 PM
PassMoved off 7

The spread moved off 7. Many football games end with a 7-point margin, so a move across 7 matters more than an ordinary half point.

Spread North Dakota State -7 → -6.5 moved 0.5 toward HawaiiTotal 39.5 → 38.5 down 1