SharpstieriColorado State RamsatWashington State Cougars
Sharps are on Colorado State, but no price at your books is worth it. Skip it.
Now: Colorado State +9.5 (-106) at FanDuel (value −7.3%) · Pinnacle +10 (-108)
Never offered at your books (the best since Pinnacle moved to +10 (Sun 8:02 PM ET) was Colorado State +9.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, −6.9%). It may never come, so don't count on it.
- Big money at Circa: 71% of the money on 50% of the bets (Circa is where pros bet).
- No better price right now: once the juice is counted, none of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price on Colorado State (Pinnacle: +10), so you'd be paying the same as everyone who waited, or more.
What it would take: It would take Colorado State +10 at +103 or better or Colorado State +11 at -110, or the moneyline at +356 or better, and that hasn't been offered since the sharp move. This isn't a forecast; lines rarely move back against sharp money. Alerts will tell you if it ever shows up.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Sharps are on the over, but no price at your books is worth it. Skip it.
Now: Over 67.5 (-105) at theScore Bet (value −2.2%) · Pinnacle Over 67 (-113)
Only before the sharp move: BetMGM had Over 65.5 (-112) (Sun 2:38 PM ET), but not since Pinnacle moved to 67 (Sun 6:48 PM ET); the best since was Over 66.5 (-107) at Caesars (−0.8%). It may not come back.
- Big money at Circa: 66% of the money on the over with 33% of the bets (Circa is where pros bet).
- No better price right now: once the juice is counted, none of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price on the over by the +1.5% totals need.
What it would take: It would take Over 66.5 at -102 or better or Over 65.5 at -110, and that hasn't been offered since the sharp move. This isn't a forecast; alerts will tell you if it ever shows up.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Mixed signals: Circa money favor Colorado State; the line moving 1.5 points their way favor Washington State. Exchanges lean further toward Colorado State than Pinnacle does. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read
- Pinnacle had Washington State -8.5 on Sun, Nov 8. It's now -10, 1.5 points toward Washington State.
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 50% of bets but 71% of the money is on Colorado State: fewer, bigger bets.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $0K traded on Kalshi), Colorado State are +260 to +285 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +302 and your best is +290. Exchanges give Colorado State a 25.2% chance vs Pinnacle's 22.2%.
- The total hasn't moved from 67.
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Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 1 move
First seen at your books: Washington State -3.5 (FanDuel)
Circa first seen: Washington State -8.5 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: Washington State -8.5 (-108)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Washington State -3.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Pinnacle Washington State -8.5 → Washington State -10, toward Washington State
Your books right then: best Washington State -8.5 (-109) at Bally Bet, still up for 51 min (until Sun, 11/8, 8:53 PM).
Pinnacle Washington State -10 (-108) · Circa Washington State -8.5 (-110)
Best Washington State at your books: Washington State -9.5 (-109) at Caesars
Best Colorado State at your books: Colorado State +9.5 (-105) at theScore Bet
- Best Washington State all week: Washington State -3.5 (-118) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 7:36 AM to Sun, 11/8, 7:46 AM
- Best Colorado State all week: Colorado State +9.5 (-105) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 8:56 PM (still up)
Total · 3 moves
First seen at your books: 62.5 (FanDuel)
Circa first seen: 65.5 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: 67 (-110)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 62.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa 65.5 → 67, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 66.5 (-104) at FanDuel, still up for 28 min (until Sun, 11/8, 4:48 PM).
Circa 67 → 66, toward the Under
Your books right then: best Under 67.5 (-110) at theScore Bet, still up for 1h 36m (until Sun, 11/8, 11:48 PM).
Circa 66 → 67.5, toward the Over
Your books right then: best Over 66.5 (-113) at Bally Bet, still up now.
Pinnacle 67 (-113) · Circa 67.5 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 66.5 (-113) at Bally Bet
Best Under at your books: Under 67.5 (-108) at BetMGM
- Best Over all week: Over 62.5 (-110) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 7:36 AM to Sun, 11/8, 7:38 AM
- Best Under all week: Under 67.5 (-110) at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 11:48 PM (still up)
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Colorado State | Washington State |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +10-108 | -10-108 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 · not the opener | +8.5-108 | -8.5-108 |
| ExchangesReference only | +9.5-112Kalshi +9.5 -112 · Novig +9.5 -106 · SX Bet +9 -113 · Polymarket +10.5 -129 · ProphetX +9.5 -122 | -9.5-121Kalshi -9.5 -121 · Novig -9.5 -106 · SX Bet -9 -135 · Polymarket -10.5 -105 · ProphetX -9.5 -128 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | +8.5-110since Sun 3:18 PM | -8.5-110since Sun 3:18 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | +9.5-108opened +6.5 -105 | -9.5-112opened -6.5 -115 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened +3.5 -104 | opened -3.5 -118 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened +7 -102 | check the app · unchanged 5 h |
| BetMGMYour book | opened +7.5 -115 | opened -7.5 -105 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened +8.5 -113 | opened -8.5 -110 |
| theScore BetYour book | check the app · unchanged 4 h | opened -7.5 -110 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened +8.5 -112 | opened -8.5 -109 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
Circa where pros bet · updated Mon, Nov 9, 12:20 AM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Mon, Nov 9, 12:49 AM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
- Probably noiseWashington State have lost 3+ straight. Teams in this spot are 413-402-11 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 231-241-7. Overs went 436-370-10 (leans).
6 more situations apply, all probably noise
- Probably noiseColorado State are an underdog in a conference game. Teams in this spot are 1291-1229-43 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 740-718-27.
- Probably noiseWashington State are a double-digit favorite. Teams in this spot are 1034-1038-27 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 615-589-12.
- Probably noiseColorado State are a double-digit underdog. Teams in this spot are 1038-1034-27 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 589-615-12.
- Probably noiseWashington State are coming off a bye. Teams in this spot are 885-887-19 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 631-664-15.
- Probably noiseColorado State are off a loss by 17+. Teams in this spot are 727-717-21 ATS (50% cover); since 2024: 432-428-12.
- Probably noiseWashington State have 3+ more days of rest than their opponent. Teams in this spot are 537-567-11 ATS (49% cover); since 2024: 357-426-9.
ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 2022. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.
This week's referee isn't posted yet (college crews aren't published).
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Gesa Field
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.