SharpstieriUAB BlazersatTemple Owls
Early: UAB moneyline +125 at FanDuel is a small edge 5 days out. A sharp waits: the sharp lines still move a lot this early. Check back within 5 days of the game; if it's still there, it'll be a Take it now and buzz your phone. Big early edges come as early-line alerts.
Now: UAB moneyline +125 at FanDuel (value +2.2%) · Pinnacle moneyline +112
- Price only: no clear sharp side on this game, but FanDuel's price is worth about +2.2% vs Pinnacle's fair price (+120), counting the number and the juice. That's the edge by itself; price-only bets need +1.5% instead of +1%.
- Pinnacle's number is less reliable here (it's more than 4 days before kickoff, when Pinnacle takes small bets), but ProphetX's price agrees: worth +3.1% against it too.
What to wait for: In your saved lines, gaps like this closed within 3 hours 43% of the time, the typical one lasted about 3 hours, and 14% lasted until kickoff. So you probably have a few hours, but any one can close in minutes, and waiting gains you nothing. Once FanDuel matches Pinnacle, the edge is gone.
How much: Risk $45 to win $56 at +125, about 0.6 of a unit. Your unit is $100 to win. Amounts are rounded to $5 so your bets look like normal bets, not a formula. Bet size scales with the edge (quarter-Kelly, assuming a unit is about 1% of your betting money): bigger edge, bigger bet, up to 2 units when the sharps agree (1 for price only; baseball price-only bets are a quarter while unproven). Never raise it to win back losses.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Quiet game: the line hasn't moved much and no sharp money shows up. FanDuel has UAB +3.5 (-130), worth about +2.3% vs the sharp price. Still not a bet right now: What to do above explains why.
The read
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Temple -2.5 since we started tracking it (Sun, Nov 8).
- FanDuel has UAB +3.5 (-130) vs Pinnacle's +2.5: 1 point better. Counting the juice, it's worth about +2.3% vs the sharp price.
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $0K traded on Kalshi), UAB are +105 to +113 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +112 and your best is +125.
- The total hasn't moved from 49.
Deep dive in Claude
Copies a ready-made request plus everything this page knows (every book's prices and moves, splits, injuries, weather, trends and the app's call). Paste it into the Claude app for a researched preview, a final-score prediction and the betting angle, fact-checked. Your Claude subscription covers it.
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 0 moves
First seen at your books: Temple -3.5 / Temple -2.5 (FanDuel, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Circa first seen: Temple -2.5 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: Temple -2.5 (-108)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Temple -3.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Pinnacle Temple -2.5 (-107) · Circa Temple -2.5 (-110)
Best Temple at your books: Temple -2 (-113) at Bally Bet
Best UAB at your books: UAB +3.5 (-130) at FanDuel
- Best Temple all week: Temple -2 (-114) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 11:52 AM (still up)
- Best UAB all week: UAB +3.5 (-120) at theScore Bet, Sun, 11/8, 3:03 PM to Sun, 11/8, 3:20 PM
Total · 0 moves
First seen at your books: 51.5 (FanDuel, BetRivers, Bally Bet)
Circa first seen: 49 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: 49 (-110)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 51.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Pinnacle 49 (-110) · Circa 49 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 48.5 (-112) at BetMGM
Best Under at your books: Under 51.5 (-125) at Bally Bet
- Best Over all week: Over 48.5 (-112) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 3:33 PM (still up)
- Best Under all week: Under 51.5 (-112) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 1:10 PM to Sun, 11/8, 1:34 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | UAB | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +2.5-109 | -2.5-107 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 · not the opener | +2.5-108 | -2.5-108 |
| ExchangesReference only | +2.5-114Kalshi +2.5 -116 · Novig +2.5 -113 · SX Bet +2.5 -125 · Polymarket +2.5 -114 · ProphetX +3.5 -149 | -2.5-114Kalshi -2.5 -116 · Novig -2.5 -106 · SX Bet -2.5 -123 · Polymarket -2.5 -114 · ProphetX -3.5 -143 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | +2.5-110since Sun 3:18 PM | -2.5-110since Sun 3:18 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | +2.5-110opened here | -2.5-110opened here |
| FanDuelYour book | likely suspended · no change in 466 min | opened -3.5 -110 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened here | opened here |
| BetMGMYour book | opened +2.5 -108 | opened -2.5 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened +2.5 -110 | opened -2.5 -113 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened +2.5 +100 | opened -2.5 -120 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened +2.5 -109 | check the app · unchanged 11 h |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 10:40 PM
Circa where pros bet
Not available for this game. Our splits provider only gets Circa's numbers for a few big games a week (this weekend, 2 of about 80 football games), so most games never show them. The DraftKings split plus the way Pinnacle's line moves is the read the app uses for the rest.
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
- Probably noiseTemple have lost 3+ straight. Teams in this spot are 413-402-11 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 231-241-7. Overs went 436-370-10 (leans).
1 more situation apply, all probably noise
- Probably noiseUAB are an underdog in a conference game. Teams in this spot are 1291-1229-43 ATS (51% cover); since 2024: 740-718-27.
ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 2022. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.
This week's referee isn't posted yet (college crews aren't published).
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Lincoln Financial Field
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.