SharpstieriAppalachian State MountaineersatMarshall Thundering Herd
Sharps are on Marshall, but no price at your books is worth it. Skip it.
Now: Marshall +2.5 (-115) at theScore Bet (value −2.0%) · Pinnacle +2 (-114)
Never offered at your books (the best since Pinnacle moved to +2 (Sun 6:48 PM ET) was Marshall +2.5 (-110) at FanDuel, +0.1%). It may never come, so don't count on it.
- Big money at Circa: 94% of the money on 50% of the bets (Circa is where pros bet).
- Held back: theScore Bet's price on this bet hasn't updated in 7 hours, even though theScore Bet has changed its other prices on this game since and Pinnacle has moved. It may be out of date, so it isn't the call; check theScore Bet's app, since it could still be there.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Sharp signals point to Marshall: Circa money. None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted.
The read
- The spread hasn't moved. Pinnacle has had Appalachian State -2 since we started tracking it (Sun, Nov 8).
- At Circa, where pros bet, only 50% of bets but 94% of the money is on Marshall: fewer, bigger bets.
- None of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted, so there's nothing to grab right now. (A better number with heavy juice can still be a worse bet.)
- On the exchanges (reference only, about $0K traded on Kalshi), Marshall are -113 to +104 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has +103 and your best is +115.
- The total hasn't moved from 53.
Deep dive in Claude
Copies a ready-made request plus everything this page knows (every book's prices and moves, splits, injuries, weather, trends and the app's call). Paste it into the Claude app for a researched preview, a final-score prediction and the betting angle, fact-checked. Your Claude subscription covers it.
Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 0 moves
First seen at your books: Marshall +2.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Circa first seen: Marshall +2.5 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: Marshall +2 (-108)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from Marshall +2.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Pinnacle Marshall +2 (-114) · Circa Marshall +2.5 (-110)
Best Marshall at your books: Marshall +2.5 (-110) at FanDuel
Best Appalachian State at your books: Appalachian State -1.5 (-113) at Caesars
- Best Marshall all week: Marshall +2.5 (-115) at Bally Bet, Sun, 11/8, 5:24 PM (still up)
- Best Appalachian State all week: Appalachian State -1.5 (-113) at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 7:34 PM (still up)
Total · 0 moves
First seen at your books: 54.5 / 53.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Circa first seen: 53 (-110)
Pinnacle first seen: 53 (-110)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 54.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Pinnacle 53 (-110) · Circa 53 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 53.5 (-108) at BetMGM
Best Under at your books: Under 53.5 (-107) at Bally Bet
- Best Over all week: Over 53.5 (-114) at Bally Bet, Sun, 11/8, 5:24 PM (still up)
- Best Under all week: Under 54.5 (-105) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 11:44 AM to Sun, 11/8, 3:06 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Appalachian State | Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | -2-103 | +2-114 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 · not the opener | -2-108 | +2-108 |
| ExchangesReference only | -2.5-112Kalshi -2.5 -112 · Novig -2.5 -111 · SX Bet -2.5 -113 · Polymarket -2.5 -110 · ProphetX -2.5 -133 | +2.5-129Kalshi +2.5 -126 · Novig +2.5 -120 · SX Bet +2.5 -135 · Polymarket +2.5 -129 · ProphetX +2.5 -145 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | -2.5-110since Sun 3:18 PM | +2.5-110since Sun 3:18 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | -1.5-115opened -2.5 -110 | +1.5-105opened +2.5 -110 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened here | check the app · unchanged 13 h |
| CaesarsYour book | opened -2.5 -112 | opened +2.5 -112 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened -2.5 -108 | opened +2.5 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened here | opened here |
| theScore BetYour book | opened -2.5 -110 | opened +2.5 -110 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened here | opened here |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
Circa where pros bet · updated Mon, Nov 9, 12:20 AM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Mon, Nov 9, 12:20 AM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
No tracked situations apply to this game.
ATS = against the closing spread. Records since 2022. The same fixed list of situations is checked for every game, and each is labeled for how likely it is to be luck given that many were checked. The betting market knows these trends too.
This week's referee isn't posted yet (college crews aren't published).
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.