Louisiana Tech BulldogsatLSU Tigers
Pass: the signals point both ways.
- Steam move: Pinnacle and 6 other books jumped toward them within an hour. Pinnacle's spread moved 2.5 points their way. (LSU)
- Big money at DraftKings: 97% of the money on 33% of the bets. (Louisiana Tech)
- Why that's a pass: when sharp signals disagree, neither side has a clear edge.
- No better price: every price at your three books is worse than Pinnacle's fair price once the juice is counted. That's normal most of the time: it's the book's cut (the red % in the price table).
What would make it a bet: A book falling behind a Pinnacle move, or sharp money showing up on one team. Both usually come in short bursts, and you'll get an alert when they do.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Mixed signals: big money at DraftKings favor Louisiana Tech; a steam move and the line moving 2.5 points their way favor LSU. BetMGM has Louisiana Tech +31.5 (-110), worth about +2.9% vs the sharp price. Still not a bet right now: What to do above explains why.
The read
- Pinnacle had LSU -28.5 on Sun, Nov 8. It's now -31, 2.5 points toward LSU.
- At DraftKings (mostly everyday bettors), 67% of spread bets and 3% of the money are on LSU.
- Even at DraftKings, Louisiana Tech have 97% of the money on only 33% of bets: bigger bettors are on them.
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 10:38 PM ET, Pinnacle and 6 other books moved the spread the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- BetMGM has Louisiana Tech +31.5 (-110) vs Pinnacle's +31: half a point better. Counting the juice, it's worth about +2.9% vs the sharp price.
- The total hasn't moved from 152.
Deep dive in Claude
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Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 5 moves
First seen at your books: LSU -28.5 (theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: LSU -28.5 (-112)
Circa first seen: LSU -29.5 (-110)
Show 2 earlier moves
Pinnacle LSU -28.5 → LSU -29.5, toward LSU
Your books right then: best LSU -28.5 (-118) at FanDuel, still up for 2h 14m (until Sun, 11/8, 10:47 PM).
Pinnacle LSU -29.5 → LSU -30, toward LSU
Your books right then: best LSU -29.5 (-103) at Bally Bet, still up for 2 min (until Sun, 11/8, 10:49 PM).
Circa LSU -29.5 → LSU -31.5, toward LSU
Your books right then: best LSU -30.5 (-109) at Bally Bet, still up now.
Pinnacle LSU -30 → LSU -31, toward LSU
Your books right then: best LSU -30.5 (-109) at Bally Bet, still up now.
Circa LSU -31.5 → LSU -31, toward Louisiana Tech
Your books right then: best Louisiana Tech +31.5 (-110) at theScore Bet, still up now.
DraftKings bets then: 50% on LSU.
Pinnacle LSU -31 (-103) · Circa LSU -31 (-110)
Best LSU at your books: LSU -30.5 (-109) at Bally Bet
Best Louisiana Tech at your books: Louisiana Tech +31.5 (-110) at BetMGM
- Best LSU all week: LSU -21.5 (-110 to -120) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 7:41 PM to Sun, 11/8, 7:47 PM
- Best Louisiana Tech all week: Louisiana Tech +31.5 (-110 to -115) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 10:49 PM (still up)
Total · 0 moves
First seen at your books: 151.5 (theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 152 (-107)
Not the opener: your books had already moved from 151.5 before the app first saw Pinnacle.
Circa first seen: 151.5 (-110)
Pinnacle 152 (-107) · Circa 151.5 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 151.5 (-110) at FanDuel
Best Under at your books: Under 152 (-110) at Caesars
- Best Over all week: Over 146.5 (-110) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 7:41 PM to Sun, 11/8, 7:47 PM
- Best Under all week: Under 152.5 (-110) at Caesars, Sun, 11/8, 11:03 PM to Sun, 11/8, 11:13 PM
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | Louisiana Tech | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +31-114 | -31-103 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 · not the opener | +28.5-106 | -28.5-112 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | +31-110since Sun 11:16 PM | -31-110since Sun 11:16 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | +31.5-112opened +28.5 -112 | -31.5-108opened -28.5 -108 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened +21.5 -110 | opened -21.5 -110 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened +28.5 -110 | opened -28.5 -110 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened +28.5 -110 | opened -28.5 -110 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened +28.5 -110 | opened -28.5 -112 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened +28.5 -110 | opened -28.5 -110 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened +28.5 -110 | opened -28.5 -110 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
DraftKings mostly everyday bettors · updated Sun, Nov 8, 11:50 PM
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.