North Alabama LionsatOklahoma Sooners
Too late: the sharp move on Oklahoma already happened. Don't chase it.
Now: Oklahoma -27.5 (-110) at FanDuel (value −1.9%) · Pinnacle -28 (-103)
Never offered at your books (the best since Pinnacle moved to -28 (Sun 11:03 PM ET) was Oklahoma -27.5 (-110) at FanDuel, −1.9%). It may never come, so don't count on it.
Close to fair For fun only: Oklahoma -27.5 (-110) at FanDuel is −1.9% vs Pinnacle's fair price, roughly break-even. Not an edge; keep it small (no more than $25 to win).
- Steam move: Pinnacle and 2 other books jumped toward them within an hour.
- Pinnacle's spread moved 1.5 points their way.
- No better price right now: once the juice is counted, none of your books beats Pinnacle's fair price on Oklahoma (Pinnacle: -28), so you'd be paying the same as everyone who waited, or more.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Take the Over 146.5 (-110) at FanDuel, now (price only).
Now: Over 146.5 (-110) at FanDuel (value +3.5%) · Pinnacle Over 147.5 (-115)
Prices checked 20 min ago. Books can move in seconds: confirm the price is still there in your FanDuel app before you bet.
Open the FanDuel app →Only at: Over 146.5 at -111 or better. If your app shows worse, skip it: don't chase.
- Price only: no clear sharp read on the total, but this price is worth about +3.5% vs Pinnacle's fair price, counting the number and the juice. Price-only totals need +2%.
- Pinnacle's number is less reliable here (Pinnacle is charging a bigger cut than usual on this line, a sign of a thin market), so this needed a bigger edge, and it has one.
How much time: Prices like this can close any time, and waiting gains you nothing. Once FanDuel matches Pinnacle, the edge is gone.
How much: Risk $45 to win $41 at -110, about 0.4 of a unit (halved: price only). Your unit is $100 to win. Amounts are rounded to $5 so your bets look like normal bets, not a formula. Bet size scales with the edge (quarter-Kelly, assuming a unit is about 1% of your betting money): bigger edge, bigger bet, up to 2 units when the sharps agree (1 for price only; baseball price-only bets are a quarter while unproven). Never raise it to win back losses.
Based on the sharp signals and prices on this page, not a guarantee. Good bets still lose often; the goal is better numbers than the market over many bets. Every call is graded on the Track record.
Sharp signals point to Oklahoma: a steam move and the line moving 1.5 points their way. theScore Bet has North Alabama +28.5 (-110), worth about +2.9% vs the sharp price. Still not a bet right now: What to do above explains why.
The read
- Pinnacle had Oklahoma -26.5 on Sun, Nov 8. It's now -28, 1.5 points toward Oklahoma.
- The sharpest moment: around Sun, Nov 8, 10:49 PM ET, Pinnacle and 2 other books moved the spread the same way within an hour. That's a steam move, usually big money hitting at once.
- theScore Bet has North Alabama +28.5 (-110) vs Pinnacle's +28: half a point better. Counting the juice, it's worth about +2.9% vs the sharp price.
- The total hasn't moved from 147.5.
Deep dive in Claude
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Line timeline
Every time Pinnacle changed its number, with the old number still at your books right then and how long it lasted. That window is when the best price is there to grab. Times are ET; prices are checked every 2–30 minutes, so the exact minute can be off a little.
Spread · 2 moves
First seen at your books: Oklahoma -25.5 / Oklahoma -26.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: Oklahoma -26.5 (-110)
Circa first seen: Oklahoma -26.5 (-110)
Circa Oklahoma -26.5 → Oklahoma -28.5, toward Oklahoma
Your books right then: best Oklahoma -26.5 (-110) at Bally Bet, still up now.
Pinnacle Oklahoma -26.5 → Oklahoma -28, toward Oklahoma
Your books right then: best Oklahoma -26.5 (-110) at Bally Bet, still up now.
Pinnacle Oklahoma -28 (-103) · Circa Oklahoma -28.5 (-110)
Best Oklahoma at your books: Oklahoma -26.5 (-110) at Bally Bet
Best North Alabama at your books: North Alabama +28.5 (-110) at theScore Bet
- Best Oklahoma all week: Oklahoma -25.5 (-110) at FanDuel, Sun, 11/8, 7:26 PM to Sun, 11/8, 9:11 PM
- Best North Alabama all week: North Alabama +28.5 (-115) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 10:50 PM to Sun, 11/8, 11:23 PM
Total · 0 moves
First seen at your books: 146.5 / 147.5 (FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, theScore Bet)
Pinnacle first seen: 147.5 (-110)
Circa first seen: 147.5 (-110)
Pinnacle 147.5 (-115) · Circa 147.5 (-110)
Best Over at your books: Over 146.5 (-110) at FanDuel
Best Under at your books: Under 147.5 (-110) at Caesars
- Best Over all week: Over 146.5 (-106 to -112) at BetRivers, Sun, 11/8, 10:04 PM (still up)
- Best Under all week: Under 147.5 (-110 to -115) at BetMGM, Sun, 11/8, 6:32 PM (still up)
How the line moved
Pinnacle is the sharp book: it takes the biggest bets and moves first. When your books trail it, that number is often worth grabbing.
| Book | North Alabama | Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|
| PinnacleSharp price now · can't bet here | +28-113 | -28-103 |
| PinnacleFirst seen Sun, 11/8 · not the opener | +26.5-108 | -26.5-110 |
| CircaSharpest legal US book · 2nd sharp price · Nevada, not NY | +28.5-110since Sun 10:50 PM | -28.5-110since Sun 10:50 PM |
| DraftKingsThe public's book · view only | +28.5-112opened +26.5 -105 | -28.5-108opened -26.5 -115 |
| FanDuelYour book | opened +25.5 -110 | opened -25.5 -110 |
| CaesarsYour book | opened +26.5 -105 | opened -26.5 -115 |
| BetMGMYour book | opened +26.5 -105 | opened -26.5 -115 |
| BetRiversYour book | opened +26.5 -109 | opened -26.5 -114 |
| theScore BetYour book | opened +26.5 -105 | opened -26.5 -115 |
| Bally BetYour book | opened +26.5 -108 | opened -26.5 -113 |
Opened = the first price the app saved at that book (for games posted before Sep 17, the earliest it has). Best = the best value at your books. The % = how much better (+) or worse (−) each price is than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (a better number with heavy juice can still be worse). Green is +1% or more: worth betting. Most prices are a little negative: that's the book's cut. Tap any price at your books to log a bet.
Check a boost
Got a boosted price or a profit boost at your book? Enter it to see if it beats Pinnacle's fair price. Books boost to get you betting; some boosts are genuinely good, many aren't.
Money vs tickets · Spread
Few bets but lots of money on one side means big bettors are there. If the line moves against the side most people bet, that's reverse line movement. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits; Circa is the sharp-book view when it posts a game.
BetMGM another public book, % of bets only · updated Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 PM
Trends & officials
How teams in the same spot have done ATS (against the spread), and who's refereeing.
Trends and officials appear here within the hour for upcoming games.
Game context
Weather and injuries often explain a line move before the numbers do. Updated every hour.
Weather at kickoff
Stadium not found, so there's no forecast for this game.
Injuries
College teams don't publish injury reports in a reliable feed, so there's nothing trustworthy to show here.