SharpstieriWeekly timing
When sharps move lines during the week, and when your books still have a good price.
How this works
When sharps move the line during the week, and when your books are most likely to still have an old, better number.
Right now: Monday
Next week's lines open. Pros bet the openers while Pinnacle's limits are still low, so the first big moves happen here.
What to do: Best window to get a number before the sharp move. If you like a side, look now, and check each price's value % on the game page.
The NFL week
How the betting market usually behaves. This is well-known market rhythm, not something from your data.
- Sunday night – MondayNext week's lines open. Pros bet the openers while Pinnacle's limits are still low, so the first big moves happen here.→ Best window to get a number before the sharp move. If you like a side, look now, and check each price's value % on the game page.
- Tuesday – WednesdayThe market settles. Fewer moves, and your books mostly match Pinnacle.→ Calm time to shop and compare. Watch Moving now and your alerts rather than every game.
- Wednesday – FridayInjury reports (practice participation) move lines, and Thursday night's game adds action.→ Before reading a move as sharp, check Game context for injuries. News moves aren't sharp money.
- Saturday – Sunday morningFinal inactives, weather, and the heaviest public money (mostly favorites and overs). The line right before kickoff is the most accurate of the week.→ Re-check for books lagging Pinnacle. Underdogs and unders sometimes get a slightly better number late.
From your saved lines: last 7 weeks, 100 games, 161 Pinnacle spread moves. Enough weeks to start trusting the shape, though one wild week can still tilt it.
When Pinnacle moves the spread
Every change in Pinnacle's spread before kickoff, by day (Eastern time). Pinnacle is where sharps bet, so this is when sharp money lands. Busiest: Tuesday.
How far before kickoff
Moves early in the week are usually sharp money on openers. Moves in the last day mix late sharp money with injuries, weather and the public.
When your books have a better number
Share of hours, while games were on the board, that FanDuel, Caesars or BetMGM had a spread worth 1%+ more than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice (the same rule as “Better price at your book”). That gap is the edge: the book hasn't caught up yet. Most often: Saturday.
How far before kickoff
A better number that only lasts minutes won't show up well, because prices are saved every 10–30 minutes.
How long a better number lasts
After Pinnacle moves, how long one of your books kept the old, better number, until it matched Pinnacle or Pinnacle came back.
415 gaps; the typical one lasted about 9.5 hours. You usually have some time, but any single gap can close in minutes.
Do Pinnacle's moves stick?
Pinnacle spread moves made 6+ hours before kickoff, compared with its number at kickoff.
136 moves. When most moves stay put, the number you missed usually doesn't come back, which is why “Take it now” means now.
Updates twice a day. Judge any timing habit by your closing-line results on My Bets.