MLB
20 games in the next 8 days · 6 with something worth a look

What the tags mean
- Take it now
- The sharp signals point to a team AND one of your books still has a better number than Pinnacle. Bet it at that book before it catches up.
- Sharp side: wait
- Sharps are on a team, and one of your books has offered a good enough price since the sharp move, so it can realistically come around again. The box names the price; bet only if a book offers it.
- Sharp side: no bet
- The sharps are on a team (or the over/under), but no price at your books is worth betting, and none good enough has been offered since the sharp move. The box shows what price it would take, but that's not a prediction: lines rarely move back against sharp money. Skip it unless an alert says otherwise.
- Too late
- The sharp move already happened, kickoff is close, and no book has an old number left. Don't chase it.
- Pass
- No clear sharp side (a better number alone isn't enough). Most games are a pass; skipping them is part of betting like a sharp.
- Unit
- Your standard bet: 1–2% of the money you've set aside for betting. Bet the same size every time and never raise it to win back losses.
- Reverse line move
- Most people bet one side, but the line moves toward the other side. Books normally move toward where the money is, so moving against the crowd usually means a smaller number of respected, bigger bettors are on the other side. It's the best-known sharp signal.
- Big money
- One side has a much bigger share of the money than of the bets. Example: 30% of bets but 70% of the money means a few large bets. At Circa, where professionals bet, this matters most.
- Steam move
- Pinnacle and at least two other books move the line the same way within about an hour. That usually happens when a lot of money hits at once, often from sharp bettors. Your books moving together without Pinnacle doesn't count; that's usually a routine reset.
- Key number
- In football, many games end with a 3- or 7-point margin. A spread moving across 3 or 7 (say -2.5 to -3.5) changes more games' results than an ordinary half point.
- Better price at your book
- FanDuel, Caesars or BetMGM is offering something worth at least 1% more than Pinnacle's fair price, counting both the number and the juice. A better number with heavy juice (say +3 at -117 vs Pinnacle's +2.5 at +101) can still be the worse bet, so the app scores both together.
- Value %
- How much better (+) or worse (−) a price is than Pinnacle's fair price, per dollar bet, after the juice. +2% means about 2 cents better per dollar than a fair bet. Half points are valued from how often games land on each margin (3 and 7 matter most).
- Big move / total moved
- The line or total has moved a lot since it opened. Something changed: injuries, weather, or money.
- Pinnacle
- The sportsbook professional bettors trust most. It takes big bets and moves its line fast, so its number is treated as the "sharp" price. You can't bet there; it's the yardstick.
- DraftKings vs Circa splits
- DraftKings shows what everyday bettors are doing (the public). Circa, a Las Vegas book, takes big bets from pros. When the two disagree, Circa usually tells you where the smart money is. Pinnacle doesn't publish its splits.
- Exchanges (Kalshi, Novig, Matchbook, SX Bet, Polymarket)
- Markets where bettors trade with each other and the site takes a small fee instead of building a margin into the odds. Their prices sit close to the true market, and Kalshi shows how much money has traded. Shown for research only; your best price is still from FanDuel, Caesars and BetMGM.
- ATS (against the spread)
- A team's record once the spread is counted. If a team is +4.5 and loses by 3, that's a win ATS. 8-29 ATS means teams in that spot covered the spread 8 times and failed 29 times.
- Trends and their labels
- A trend is how teams in the same spot did ATS, against the closing spread (e.g. 'off an overtime win on a short week: 4-19 ATS'). The app checks the same fixed list of spots for every game and labels each: 'Worth noting' is unlikely to be luck even after counting how many spots were checked; 'Leans' could be luck; 'Probably noise' is close enough to 50/50 to ignore. TV trends skip this step.
- Closing line value (CLV)
- Did you get a better number than where the line ended up at kickoff? Bettors who beat the closing line over time tend to win; it's the honest scorecard on My Bets.
What to do
Nothing to take right now. Every other game is a pass, and that's normal: sharps only bet a few games a week. Track record
Thursday, Sep 24
Diamondbacks12@Rockies8
Moneyline Rockies
Brewers5@Phillies1
Moneyline Phillies
Guardians1@Red Sox0
Moneyline Red Sox -120 → -120 no moveTotal 6.5 → 6.5 no move
Rays4@Yankees6
Moneyline Yankees -145 → -137 moved 1 pts toward RaysTotal 6.5 → 6 down 0.582% of bets on Yankees
Reds7@Braves6
Moneyline Braves -210 → -226 moved 2 pts toward BravesTotal 7.5 → 8 up 0.584% of bets on Braves
Astros3@Athletics0
Moneyline Astros -158 → -177 moved 3 pts toward AstrosTotal 10.5 → 11 up 0.588% of bets on Astros
Angels1@Mariners3
Moneyline Mariners -207 → -183 moved 2 pts toward AngelsTotal 7 → 7 no move87% of bets on Mariners
Padres0@Dodgers0
Moneyline Dodgers -169 → -161 moved 1 pts toward PadresTotal 7.5 → 7.5 no move76% of bets on Dodgers
Friday, Sep 25
Pirates@TigersFri 6:41 PM
At DraftKings, the Pirates have 74% of the money on only 40% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.
Moneyline Pirates -106 → -106 no moveTotal 7.5 → 7.5 no move60% of bets on Tigers
Rays@PhilliesFri 6:41 PM
At DraftKings, the Rays have 87% of the money on only 50% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.
Moneyline Phillies -155 → -155 no moveTotal 6.5 → 6.5 no move
Mets@NationalsFri 6:46 PM
Moneyline Mets -134Total 8.587% of bets on Mets
Reds@Blue JaysFri 7:08 PM
Moneyline Blue Jays -136Total 7.5
Braves@MarlinsFri 7:11 PM
Moneyline Braves -124Total 8.580% of bets on Braves
Rockies@White SoxFri 7:40 PM
Moneyline White Sox -215 → -215 no moveTotal 8 → 8 no move93% of bets on White Sox
Guardians@RoyalsFri 7:41 PM
Moneyline Guardians -133 → -133 no moveTotal 8 → 8 no move70% of bets on Guardians
Cardinals@BrewersFri 7:41 PM
Moneyline Brewers -177 → -177 no moveTotal 8 → 8 no move92% of bets on Brewers
Rangers@TwinsFri 8:11 PM
Moneyline Twins -105 → -105 no moveTotal 7.5 → 7.5 no move83% of bets on Twins
Diamondbacks@PadresFri 9:41 PM
At DraftKings, the Diamondbacks have 83% of the money on only 8% of the bets: fewer, bigger bets.
Moneyline Padres -132Total 7.592% of bets on Padres
Angels@MarinersFri 10:11 PM
Moneyline Mariners -130 → -130 no moveTotal 7 → 7 no move
Dodgers@GiantsFri 10:16 PM
Moneyline Dodgers -375 → -375 no moveTotal 7.5 → 7.5 no move